TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044635
Played Aug 31Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9118111141113––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:45 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 58.9%
78 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 21–45 Serhii Pitsyk Andrii Peretiatko has won 21 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pitsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-45 in 66
Pitsyk
Correct
gap of 24 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1504 vs Pitsyk 1570
Pitsyk
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 60% vs Pitsyk 80%
Pitsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 60% vs Pitsyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko +3 · Pitsyk +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 2.20 / Pitsyk 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pitsyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13044635
Peretiatko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 85 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Pitsyk1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 118 of 198
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko4wins
AwayPitsyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko75%3 of 4
AwayPitsyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S2Peretiatko4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko6Pitsyk4n = 10Peretiatko took 6 of 10
S4Peretiatko3Pitsyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Peretiatko1Pitsyk2n = 3Pitsyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoPitsykPeretiatko − PitsykBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.036.9−3.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 761 vs 316 / 58846.8%53.7%356 / 761 vs 316 / 588Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPeretiatko 2.20/Pitsyk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pitsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 02:05A. Peretiatko—77100S. Pitsyk—1111123
LJul 2 · 21:05A. Peretiatko—351191S. Pitsyk—11117113
WJun 24 · 21:35A. Peretiatko—61111113S. Pitsyk—119961
LJun 18 · 17:55A. Peretiatko—11411722S. Pitsyk—111811113
LJun 11 · 02:35A. Peretiatko—91181142S. Pitsyk—118117113
WJun 1 · 02:35A. Peretiatko—1112113S. Pitsyk—91040
WMay 22 · 04:05A. Peretiatko—113612113S. Pitsyk—611111062
WMay 14 · 16:35A. Peretiatko—1115113S. Pitsyk—81380
LMay 13 · 19:25A. Peretiatko—281161S. Pitsyk—11118113
LMay 6 · 18:35A. Peretiatko—8930S. Pitsyk—1111113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181
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