TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067619
Played Sep 4Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210112811811119
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 67.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 66–69 Andrii Peretiatko Hryhorii Kulishov has won 66 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:28What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-69 in 135
Peretiatko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1574 vs Peretiatko 1465
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 20% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 60% vs Peretiatko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -3 · Peretiatko +1
Kulishov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.44 / Peretiatko 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067619
Kulishov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 186 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it74% 140 of 189
Peretiatko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 85 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov8wins
AwayPeretiatko2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishov100%6 of 6
AwayPeretiatko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov6Peretiatko4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S2Kulishov7Peretiatko3n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S3Kulishov7Peretiatko3n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Kulishov3Peretiatko1n = 4Kulishov took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovPeretiatkoK − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.430.1+5.3per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 934 vs 360 / 77151.4%46.7%480 / 934 vs 360 / 771Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.44/Peretiatko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov—121188113A. Peretiatko—102111192
WAug 31 · 21:35H. Kulishov—11912113A. Peretiatko—8111091
WAug 30 · 22:05H. Kulishov—1111113A. Peretiatko—9950
WAug 27 · 22:05H. Kulishov—101111113A. Peretiatko—126881
LAug 23 · 23:05H. Kulishov—11760A. Peretiatko—1311113
WAug 16 · 22:05H. Kulishov—1111163A. Peretiatko—37140
LAug 13 · 21:05H. Kulishov—5940A. Peretiatko—1111113
WAug 13 · 24:05H. Kulishov—1111113A. Peretiatko—6290
WAug 11 · 02:35H. Kulishov—61111113A. Peretiatko—115671
WAug 10 · 24:05H. Kulishov—1111113A. Peretiatko—9970
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981WSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
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