TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067685
Played Sep 3Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811111119118––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 26–20 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 20 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-20 in 46
Peretiatko
Correct
gap of 6 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1480 vs Fomin 1464
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 40% vs Fomin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 50% vs Fomin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko +2 · Fomin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Peretiatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 1.83 / Fomin 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Peretiatko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067685
Peretiatko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Fomin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko5wins
AwayFomin5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko60%3 of 5
AwayFomin60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S2Peretiatko4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko7Fomin3n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Peretiatko3Fomin3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoFominP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.8+2.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoFominBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 768 vs 268 / 55146.7%48.6%359 / 768 vs 268 / 551Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoPeretiatko 1.83/Fomin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko—81111113M. Fomin—111981
LSep 1 · 24:35A. Peretiatko—67120M. Fomin—1111143
WAug 31 · 24:35A. Peretiatko—1112143M. Fomin—410120
LAug 24 · 21:35A. Peretiatko—8411111M. Fomin—11119133
WAug 17 · 22:05A. Peretiatko—1111113M. Fomin—6460
WAug 14 · 01:05A. Peretiatko—10101111113M. Fomin—12126972
LAug 12 · 22:35A. Peretiatko—106111182M. Fomin—121185113
LAug 11 · 24:35A. Peretiatko—117571M. Fomin—61111113
WAug 7 · 02:35A. Peretiatko—1111113M. Fomin—8760
LAug 5 · 23:05A. Peretiatko—1171191M. Fomin—91113113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
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