TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067644
Played Sep 4Finished
Andrii Peretiatko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117114––––
Serhii Pitsyk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:28 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Peretiatko above · Serhii Pitsyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 63.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Peretiatko 21–46 Serhii Pitsyk Andrii Peretiatko has won 21 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:28What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pitsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-46 in 67
Pitsyk
Wrong
gap of 25 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Peretiatko 1454 vs Pitsyk 1577
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Peretiatko 60% vs Pitsyk 80%
Pitsyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Peretiatko 50% vs Pitsyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Peretiatko -1 · Pitsyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pitsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPeretiatko 2.38 / Pitsyk 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Pitsyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067644
Peretiatko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 85 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Pitsyk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 85 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePeretiatko4wins
AwayPitsyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePeretiatko75%3 of 4
AwayPitsyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Peretiatko4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S2Peretiatko4Pitsyk6n = 10Pitsyk took 6 of 10
S3Peretiatko7Pitsyk3n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Peretiatko3Pitsyk4n = 7Pitsyk took 4 of 7
S5Peretiatko1Pitsyk2n = 3Pitsyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPeretiatkoPitsykPeretiatko − PitsykBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.937.5−2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPeretiatkoPitsykBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 769 vs 315 / 58546.7%53.9%359 / 769 vs 315 / 585Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPeretiatko 2.38/Pitsyk 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko—9811111S. Pitsyk—11114133
LJul 31 · 02:05A. Peretiatko—77100S. Pitsyk—1111123
LJul 2 · 21:05A. Peretiatko—351191S. Pitsyk—11117113
WJun 24 · 21:35A. Peretiatko—61111113S. Pitsyk—119961
LJun 18 · 17:55A. Peretiatko—11411722S. Pitsyk—111811113
LJun 11 · 02:35A. Peretiatko—91181142S. Pitsyk—118117113
WJun 1 · 02:35A. Peretiatko—1112113S. Pitsyk—91040
WMay 22 · 04:05A. Peretiatko—113612113S. Pitsyk—611111062
WMay 14 · 16:35A. Peretiatko—1115113S. Pitsyk—81380
LMay 13 · 19:25A. Peretiatko—281161S. Pitsyk—11118113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981WSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
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