TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051530
Played Sep 1Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12101012711811––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Peretiatko to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 81 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Peretiatko at 65.3%
81 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 0–1 Andrii Peretiatko Mykhailo Skliar has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Peretiatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1407 vs Peretiatko 1458
Peretiatko
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 20% vs Peretiatko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 10% vs Peretiatko 40%
Peretiatko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -3 · Peretiatko +1
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Peretiatko) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.75 / Peretiatko 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Peretiatko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13051530
Skliar2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 12 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Peretiatko1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 73 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it71% 56 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkliar0wins
AwayPeretiatko1wins
Peretiatko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSkliarPeretiatkoS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 103 vs 357 / 76654.4%46.6%56 / 103 vs 357 / 766Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PeretiatkoSkliar 2.75/Peretiatko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Peretiatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 03:05M. Skliar—9930A. Peretiatko—1111113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981
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