TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084221
Played Sep 7Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10128111210811––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 82 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 60.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–3 Dmitriy Kim Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Kim
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1362 vs Kim 1527
Kim
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 0% vs Kim 40%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 10% vs Kim 50%
Kim
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -5 · Kim +2
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 2.20 / Kim 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Kim)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13084221
Skliar2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog26% won 14 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Kim1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 77 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayKim3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKim leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar2Kim2n = 4split evenly
S2Skliar1Kim3n = 4Kim took 3 of 4
S3Skliar1Kim3n = 4Kim took 3 of 4
S4Skliar2Kim1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSkliarKimS − KBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match32.539.0−6.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKimBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 111 vs 484 / 100951.4%48%57 / 111 vs 484 / 1009Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimSkliar 2.20/Kim 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.5%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar—6670D. Kim—1111113
LAug 31 · 23:05M. Skliar—111191142D. Kim—513116113
LAug 28 · 02:35M. Skliar—137431D. Kim—111111113
WAug 25 · 01:35M. Skliar—41211113D. Kim—1110841
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113
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