TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061128
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611711––––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 52 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 54.3%
52 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–2 Dmitriy Kim Mykhailo Skliar has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1383 vs Kim 1536
Kim
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 20% vs Kim 80%
Kim
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 20% vs Kim 70%
Kim
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -3 · Kim +1
Skliar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kim)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 1.91 / Kim 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kim)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13061128
Skliar1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 13 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Kim1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 76 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayKim2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKim leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skliar2Kim1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S2Skliar1Kim2n = 3Kim took 2 of 3
S3Skliar1Kim2n = 3Kim took 2 of 3
S4Skliar2Kim1n = 3Skliar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkliarKimS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.041.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarKimBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 108 vs 483 / 100652.8%48%57 / 108 vs 483 / 1006Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimSkliar 1.91/Kim 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.3%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 31 · 23:05M. Skliar—111191142D. Kim—513116113
LAug 28 · 02:35M. Skliar—137431D. Kim—111111113
WAug 25 · 01:35M. Skliar—41211113D. Kim—1110841
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 04:05M. Skliar2.751210781A. Peretiatko1.40101211113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.