TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084030
Played Sep 6Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311511711118611
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 63.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 51–28 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 28 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pitsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-28 in 79
Pitsyk
Wrong
gap of 23 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1578 vs Kim 1505
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Kim 20%
Pitsyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 80% vs Kim 50%
Pitsyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk +2 · Kim -4
Kim
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Pitsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.50 / Kim 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Pitsyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13084030
Pitsyk1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 86 of 106
Kim2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 148 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back33% 67 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back12% 12 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePitsyk7wins
AwayKim3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPitsyk leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePitsyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayKim66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pitsyk7Kim3n = 10Pitsyk took 7 of 10
S2Pitsyk8Kim2n = 10Pitsyk took 8 of 10
S3Pitsyk4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Pitsyk4Kim1n = 5Pitsyk took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPitsykKimP − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.432.0+4.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykKimBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 584 vs 485 / 101253.9%47.9%315 / 584 vs 485 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.50/Kim 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk—11139113D. Kim—7111151
WAug 31 · 01:05S. Pitsyk—61111113D. Kim—115971
LAug 23 · 21:35S. Pitsyk—13760D. Kim—1511113
WAug 9 · 23:35S. Pitsyk—1111123D. Kim—98100
LAug 2 · 21:05S. Pitsyk—10770D. Kim—1211113
WJul 31 · 24:05S. Pitsyk—1111113D. Kim—6860
WJul 27 · 24:05S. Pitsyk—1611113D. Kim—14690
WJul 6 · 03:35S. Pitsyk—11118113D. Kim—481141
LJul 2 · 22:35S. Pitsyk—12119572D. Kim—1091111113
WJun 25 · 01:05S. Pitsyk—11118113D. Kim—861131
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 01:05S. Pitsyk1.61135941A. Peretiatko2.20111111113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113
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