TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13085194
Played Sep 7Finished
Serhii Pitsyk
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1311511911411––
Andrii Peretiatko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:18 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeSerhii Pitsyk to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Pitsyk above · Andrii Peretiatko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 75 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Serhii Pitsyk at 59.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Pitsyk 46–22 Andrii Peretiatko Andrii Peretiatko has won 22 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pitsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-22 in 68
Pitsyk
Wrong
gap of 24 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pitsyk 1571 vs Peretiatko 1503
Pitsyk
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pitsyk 60% vs Peretiatko 80%
Peretiatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pitsyk 70% vs Peretiatko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pitsyk +1 · Peretiatko +3
Peretiatko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pitsyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Peretiatko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPitsyk 1.61 / Peretiatko 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pitsyk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13085194
Pitsyk1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 120 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it97% 58 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 86 of 106
Peretiatko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 85 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePitsyk5wins
AwayPeretiatko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePitsyk80%4 of 5
AwayPeretiatko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pitsyk5Peretiatko5n = 10split evenly
S2Pitsyk5Peretiatko5n = 10split evenly
S3Pitsyk3Peretiatko7n = 10Peretiatko took 7 of 10
S4Pitsyk3Peretiatko3n = 6split evenly
S5Pitsyk2Peretiatko1n = 3Pitsyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPitsykPeretiatkoPitsyk − PeretiatkoBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.435.5−0.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPitsykPeretiatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 586 vs 363 / 77453.9%46.9%316 / 586 vs 363 / 774Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PitsykPitsyk 1.61/Peretiatko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Pitsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Peretiatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 24:35S. Pitsyk—9740A. Peretiatko—1111113
WAug 31 · 03:35S. Pitsyk—11114133A. Peretiatko—9811111
WJul 31 · 02:05S. Pitsyk—1111123A. Peretiatko—77100
WJul 2 · 21:05S. Pitsyk—11117113A. Peretiatko—351191
LJun 24 · 21:35S. Pitsyk—119961A. Peretiatko—61111113
WJun 18 · 17:55S. Pitsyk—111811113A. Peretiatko—11411722
WJun 11 · 02:35S. Pitsyk—118117113A. Peretiatko—91181142
LJun 1 · 02:35S. Pitsyk—91040A. Peretiatko—1112113
LMay 22 · 04:05S. Pitsyk—611111062A. Peretiatko—113612113
LMay 14 · 16:35S. Pitsyk—81380A. Peretiatko—1115113
S. Pitsyk10
WSep 7 · 03:05Y. Stepanchuk2.75912101142S. Pitsyk1.401110125113WSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880WSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113WSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740WSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181WAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
A. Peretiatko10
WSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113WSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 21:05Y. Stepanchuk1.73911101192A. Peretiatko2.00112127113WSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192WSep 4 · 24:35A. Peretiatko2.381111113S. Pitsyk1.539740LSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LAug 31 · 03:35A. Peretiatko2.209811111S. Pitsyk1.6111114133
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