TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067689
Played Sep 4Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114311811117119
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 86 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 66.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 20–5 Mykyta Fomin Mykyta Fomin has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sokoltsov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-5 in 25
Sokoltsov
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1530 vs Fomin 1495
Sokoltsov
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Fomin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Fomin 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +3 · Fomin +2
Sokoltsov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sokoltsov) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.61 / Fomin 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067689
Sokoltsov1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 88 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it75% 67 of 89
Fomin2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 93 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov7wins
AwayFomin3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov100%7 of 7
AwayFomin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov7Fomin3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S2Sokoltsov3Fomin7n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S3Sokoltsov7Fomin3n = 10Sokoltsov took 7 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Fomin2n = 6Sokoltsov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovFominS − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.233.5+2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovFominBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 518 vs 270 / 55348.8%48.8%253 / 518 vs 270 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.61/Fomin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—761561M. Fomin—111113113
WAug 25 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511771
LAug 20 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—7390M. Fomin—1111113
WAug 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—1111113M. Fomin—8960
WAug 11 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—111594113M. Fomin—513111192
WAug 7 · 03:35Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511341
WJul 20 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—11911113M. Fomin—511791
WJul 14 · 04:05Y. Sokoltsov—1113113M. Fomin—81170
LJun 29 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—85100M. Fomin—1111123
WJun 26 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov—12712113M. Fomin—10111081
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Sokoltsov
M. Fomin
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.