TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061271
Played Sep 3Finished
Mykyta Fomin
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117711511113711
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 84 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 24–17 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-17 in 41
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 7 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1483 vs Kulishov 1605
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Kulishov 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +2 · Kulishov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.91 / Kulishov 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kulishov)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13061271
Fomin1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 91 of 233
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 79
Kulishov1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 182 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it74% 138 of 186
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin4wins
AwayKulishov6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin57.1%4 of 7
AwayKulishov100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin7Kulishov3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Fomin4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Fomin3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Fomin2Kulishov4n = 6Kulishov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominKulishovF − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.437.5−4.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 549 vs 478 / 92948.8%51.5%268 / 549 vs 478 / 929Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovFomin 1.91/Kulishov 1.80
Hit
What we said
54.7%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 23:35M. Fomin—1111113H. Kulishov—7870
WAug 31 · 04:05M. Fomin—11115123H. Kulishov—7811101
LAug 21 · 02:35M. Fomin—781141H. Kulishov—11118113
LAug 19 · 20:25M. Fomin—1171261H. Kulishov—61114113
LAug 14 · 03:05M. Fomin—1310761H. Kulishov—111211113
LAug 13 · 04:05M. Fomin—111444102H. Kulishov—7121111123
LAug 11 · 03:35M. Fomin—7730H. Kulishov—1111113
WAug 6 · 21:05M. Fomin—1111113H. Kulishov—4670
LAug 6 · 02:05M. Fomin—5870H. Kulishov—1111113
WAug 4 · 01:35M. Fomin—111913133H. Kulishov—9111111112
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
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