TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067538
Played Sep 4Finished
Hryhorii Kulishov
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Mykyta Fomin
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingHryhorii Kulishov above · Mykyta Fomin below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Hryhorii Kulishov 18–25 Mykyta Fomin Hryhorii Kulishov has won 18 of their 43 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:11What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-25 in 43
Fomin
Correct
gap of 7 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulishov 1566 vs Fomin 1495
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulishov 40% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulishov 70% vs Fomin 50%
Kulishov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulishov -2 · Fomin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulishov 1.73 / Fomin 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kulishov)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13067538
Kulishov1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 186 of 296
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it74% 140 of 189
Fomin2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 93 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back23% 28 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulishov6wins
AwayFomin4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulishovn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayFomin50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulishov2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S2Kulishov5Fomin5n = 10split evenly
S3Kulishov6Fomin4n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S4Kulishov4Fomin2n = 6Kulishov took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulishovFominK − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.734.1+1.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulishovFominBasisWin rate · lifetime479 / 933 vs 270 / 55351.3%48.8%479 / 933 vs 270 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKulishov 1.73/Fomin 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov—7990M. Fomin—1111113
WSep 3 · 03:35H. Kulishov—711113113M. Fomin—11751172
LAug 31 · 23:35H. Kulishov—7870M. Fomin—1111113
LAug 31 · 04:05H. Kulishov—7811101M. Fomin—11115123
WAug 21 · 02:35H. Kulishov—11118113M. Fomin—781141
WAug 19 · 20:25H. Kulishov—61114113M. Fomin—1171261
WAug 14 · 03:05H. Kulishov—111211113M. Fomin—1310761
WAug 13 · 04:05H. Kulishov—7121111123M. Fomin—111444102
WAug 11 · 03:35H. Kulishov—1111113M. Fomin—7730
LAug 6 · 21:05H. Kulishov—4670M. Fomin—1111113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113LSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113WSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113
M. Fomin10
LSep 4 · 04:05M. Fomin2.75712481S. Pitsyk1.40111011113LSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102LSep 3 · 22:05A. Peretiatko1.8381111113M. Fomin1.83111981LSep 3 · 03:35M. Fomin1.9111751172H. Kulishov1.80711113113WSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin2.5011811123D. Kim1.509114101LSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin2.257990D. Kim1.571111113
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