TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061186
Played Sep 3Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114114611911811
Danylo Us
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:03 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Sokoltsov to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Danylo Us below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Yevhenii Sokoltsov at 61.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 11–9 Danylo Us Danylo Us has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sokoltsov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Sokoltsov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1474 vs Us 1423
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Us 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 40% vs Us 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -1 · Us +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sokoltsov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokoltsov form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 1.61 / Us 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sokoltsov)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061186
Sokoltsov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it98% 50 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 89
Us2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 52 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov6wins
AwayUs4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSokoltsov leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov66.7%4 of 6
AwayUs50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov5Us5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov6Us4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S4Sokoltsov4Us3n = 7Sokoltsov took 4 of 7
S5Sokoltsov3Us3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovUsS − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.840.0+3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovUsBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 515 vs 200 / 47648.5%42%250 / 515 vs 200 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokoltsovSokoltsov 1.61/Us 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Sokoltsov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Us won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—11116982D. Us—441111113
WAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—91411113D. Us—1112561
LAug 24 · 23:05Y. Sokoltsov—111011672D. Us—712411113
WJul 10 · 17:25Y. Sokoltsov—1071112113D. Us—121171052
WJun 17 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov—1111163D. Us—68140
WJun 8 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov—1311113D. Us—11970
WMay 6 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—1171211113D. Us—71114652
LApr 13 · 02:35Y. Sokoltsov—91251192D. Us—1110116113
LMar 3 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—1211110D. Us—1413133
WFeb 11 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov—115137113D. Us—611111192
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113WAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540
D. Us10
WSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 01:05D. Us2.2510570H. Kulishov1.571211113WSep 2 · 23:35D. Us2.5011205113M. Fomin1.507181141LSep 2 · 21:35D. Us1.91115411112D. Kim1.80911117133LAug 27 · 03:35D. Us2.504411101Y. Stepanchuk1.5011117123LAug 27 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.671111133D. Us2.1079110WAug 27 · 24:35D. Us1.67711811113A. Peretiatko2.1011611952LAug 26 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.6791411113D. Us2.101112561LAug 26 · 22:05D. Us1.917119121D. Kim1.8011811143LAug 25 · 03:35D. Kim1.8341113113D. Us1.831191171
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