TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055605
Played Sep 2Finished
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111214911––––
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKostiantyn Hrynenko above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 65 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 54.0%
65 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Hrynenko 21–32 Dmytro Rehotun Kostiantyn Hrynenko has won 21 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:25What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hrynenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-32 in 53
Rehotun
Correct
gap of 11 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrynenko 1694 vs Rehotun 1358
Hrynenko
Wrong
both rated, 336 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrynenko 100% vs Rehotun 0%
Hrynenko
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrynenko 90% vs Rehotun 10%
Hrynenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrynenko +5 · Rehotun -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hrynenko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrynenko 1.61 / Rehotun 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Hrynenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055605
Hrynenko1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 53 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 43 of 54
Rehotun2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrynenko5wins
AwayRehotun5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrynenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayRehotun100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrynenko7Rehotun3n = 10Hrynenko took 7 of 10
S2Hrynenko6Rehotun4n = 10Hrynenko took 6 of 10
S3Hrynenko4Rehotun6n = 10Rehotun took 6 of 10
S4Hrynenko1Rehotun2n = 3Rehotun took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrynenkoRehotunH − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.131.0+1.1per matchSweeps43+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrynenkoRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 903 vs 205 / 41246.7%49.8%422 / 903 vs 205 / 412Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoHrynenko 1.61/Rehotun 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rehotun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko—81290D. Rehotun—1114113
WAug 31 · 17:25K. Hrynenko—1111113D. Rehotun—6780
LMar 10 · 14:55K. Hrynenko—1181051D. Rehotun—91112113
WMar 3 · 14:25K. Hrynenko—1411113D. Rehotun—12860
LFeb 4 · 04:25K. Hrynenko—11115822D. Rehotun—971111113
WJan 27 · 24:55K. Hrynenko—1111113D. Rehotun—8690
LJan 6 · 16:05K. Hrynenko—8670D. Rehotun—1111113
WJan 5 · 22:25K. Hrynenko—1111113D. Rehotun—5250
LJan 1 · 07:05K. Hrynenko—9650D. Rehotun—1111113
WDec 31 · 24:35K. Hrynenko—111112113D. Rehotun—931481
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123
D. Rehotun10
WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk—6980D. Rehotun—1111113
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