TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049592
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119511911911––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 54.3%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1400 vs Melashenko 1526
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 20% vs Melashenko 80%
Melashenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 40% vs Melashenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun -3 · Melashenko +1
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Melashenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 1.91 / Melashenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Melashenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13049592
Rehotun1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Melashenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 89 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it74% 55 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 825 vs 432 / 84945.5%50.9%375 / 825 vs 432 / 849Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoRehotun 1.91/Melashenko 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melashenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Rehotun10
WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk—6980D. Rehotun—1111113
O. Melashenko10
LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100
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