TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049578
Played Aug 31Finished
Dmytro Rehotun
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711711––––
Vitalii Kobets
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Rehotun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Rehotun above · Vitalii Kobets below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Rehotun at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Rehotun 0–1 Vitalii Kobets Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rehotun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rehotun 1382 vs Kobets 1502
Kobets
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rehotun 60% vs Kobets 40%
Rehotun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rehotun 50% vs Kobets 30%
Rehotun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rehotun -1 · Kobets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Rehotun) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRehotun 1.67 / Kobets 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Rehotun)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049578
Rehotun1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kobets2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 78 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back27% 25 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRehotun0wins
AwayKobets1wins
Kobets leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricRehotunKobetsR − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRehotunKobetsBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 408 vs 456 / 88950%51.3%204 / 408 vs 456 / 889Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RehotunRehotun 1.67/Kobets 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Rehotun · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun—4770V. Kobets—1111113
D. Rehotun10
WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk—6980D. Rehotun—1111113
V. Kobets10
LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113WAug 27 · 22:35V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75115471LAug 27 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73961141D. Kim2.0011116113LAug 27 · 03:55V. Kobets2.107880H. Kulishov1.671111113
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