TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13024066
Played Aug 27Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811811––––
Hryhorii Kulishov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:39 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 57.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 61–58 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 58 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kulishov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
61-58 in 119
Kobets
Wrong
gap of 3 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1538 vs Kulishov 1614
Kulishov
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 50% vs Kulishov 70%
Kulishov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets +1 · Kulishov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kulishov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 2.10 / Kulishov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kulishov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13024066
Kobets2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 76 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back15% 7 of 48
Kulishov1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 172 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it94% 96 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it72% 132 of 184
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKobets3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets33.3%2 of 6
AwayKulishov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets6Kulishov4n = 10Kobets took 6 of 10
S2Kobets4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Kobets3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S4Kobets5Kulishov4n = 9Kobets took 5 of 9
S5Kobets1Kulishov4n = 5Kulishov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKobetsKulishovKobets − KulishovBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.542.0−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 888 vs 472 / 92951.4%50.8%456 / 888 vs 472 / 929Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovKobets 2.10/Kulishov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kulishov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 27 · 01:05V. Kobets—11831272H. Kulishov—3111110113
LJul 15 · 21:35V. Kobets—11761132H. Kulishov—711116113
WJul 13 · 21:05V. Kobets—11128113H. Kulishov—8101161
WJul 10 · 01:05V. Kobets—813149113H. Kulishov—1111121192
LJul 2 · 24:05V. Kobets—331151H. Kulishov—11118113
LJun 11 · 21:05V. Kobets—116101192H. Kulishov—811125113
WJun 8 · 01:05V. Kobets—11114113H. Kulishov—771151
LJun 4 · 24:05V. Kobets—111167112H. Kulishov—781111133
LMay 27 · 15:25V. Kobets—571171H. Kulishov—11115113
LMay 24 · 21:05V. Kobets—4670H. Kulishov—1111113
V. Kobets10
LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113WAug 27 · 22:35V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75115471LAug 27 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73961141D. Kim2.0011116113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:05S. Pitsyk1.911111113H. Kulishov1.806880LSep 7 · 24:05Y. Stepanchuk2.1031111113H. Kulishov1.67118991LSep 6 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.44101151182A. Peretiatko2.63123117113WSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123WSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 01:35H. Kulishov1.44121188113A. Peretiatko2.63102111192LSep 4 · 24:05H. Kulishov1.737990M. Fomin2.001111113LSep 3 · 22:35H. Kulishov1.67711671S. Pitsyk2.1011811113WAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113
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