TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049824
Played Aug 31Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211411911––––
Kostiantyn Hrynenko
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 82.7% is still 82.7%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Hrynenko to win
82.7%
82.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Kostiantyn Hrynenko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 48 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Kostiantyn Hrynenko at 82.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 1–4 Kostiantyn Hrynenko Vitalii Kobets has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:43What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Hrynenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Hrynenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1510 vs Hrynenko 1665
Hrynenko
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 60% vs Hrynenko 100%
Hrynenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 40% vs Hrynenko 80%
Hrynenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets +1 · Hrynenko +5
Hrynenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Hrynenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrynenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 4.33 / Hrynenko 1.20
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Hrynenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049824
Kobets4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 78 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back27% 25 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 50
Hrynenko1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 49 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 39 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKobets1wins
AwayHrynenko4wins
Hrynenko leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets33.3%1 of 3
AwayHrynenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets3Hrynenko2n = 5Kobets took 3 of 5
S2Kobets1Hrynenko4n = 5Hrynenko took 4 of 5
S3Kobets1Hrynenko4n = 5Hrynenko took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKobetsHrynenkoK − HBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match30.034.0−4.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsHrynenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 888 vs 420 / 90251.4%46.6%456 / 888 vs 420 / 902Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrynenkoKobets 4.33/Hrynenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.7%
Hrynenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrynenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 20 · 24:05V. Kobets—119891K. Hrynenko—21111113
LAug 11 · 21:35V. Kobets—9860K. Hrynenko—1111113
LAug 4 · 14:25V. Kobets—101070K. Hrynenko—1212113
LAug 3 · 17:25V. Kobets—123961K. Hrynenko—101111113
WJul 23 · 02:05V. Kobets—1111113K. Hrynenko—9690
V. Kobets10
WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113WAug 27 · 22:35V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75115471LAug 27 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73961141D. Kim2.0011116113LAug 27 · 03:55V. Kobets2.107880H. Kulishov1.671111113
K. Hrynenko10
WSep 6 · 03:35K. Hrynenko1.7311412113M. Marchuk2.005111061LSep 6 · 01:35V. Lobas1.5311113143K. Hrynenko2.384811121WSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 23:35O. Gomilko1.61116581K. Hrynenko2.2071111113WSep 5 · 22:05K. Hrynenko2.201111113Y. Krol1.616990WSep 5 · 03:05Y. Krol1.571011461K. Hrynenko2.2512511113LSep 5 · 02:05K. Hrynenko2.508850V. Lobas1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113LSep 4 · 21:35K. Hrynenko2.25910100O. Gomilko1.571112123
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