TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13023791
Played Aug 27Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115114117––
Mykhailo Skliar
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:18 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Mykhailo Skliar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 66.3%
69 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kobets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1514 vs Skliar 1456
Kobets
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 20% vs Skliar 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 50% vs Skliar 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets -2 · Skliar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kobets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skliar form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 1.40 / Skliar 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kobets)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13023791
Kobets1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Skliar2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 12 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsSkliarBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 890 vs 55 / 9551.2%57.9%456 / 890 vs 55 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KobetsKobets 1.40/Skliar 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Kobets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kobets won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kobets10
LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113LAug 27 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73961141D. Kim2.0011116113LAug 27 · 03:55V. Kobets2.107880H. Kulishov1.671111113
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
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