TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049622
Played Aug 31Finished
Yevhenii Sokoltsov
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119411911––
Vitalii Kobets
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Vitalii Kobets below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 23–26 Vitalii Kobets Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 23 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kobets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-26 in 49
Kobets
Correct
gap of 3 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1513 vs Kobets 1498
Sokoltsov
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kobets 40%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kobets 40%
Sokoltsov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov -1 · Kobets -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kobets) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.20 / Kobets 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Kobets)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13049622
Sokoltsov2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 59 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 55
Kobets1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 87 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it76% 55 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov5wins
AwayKobets5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsov83.3%5 of 6
AwayKobets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov6Kobets4n = 10Sokoltsov took 6 of 10
S2Sokoltsov5Kobets5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokoltsov5Kobets5n = 10split evenly
S4Sokoltsov3Kobets4n = 7Kobets took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKobetsS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.137.9−2.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKobetsBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 513 vs 455 / 88749.3%51.3%253 / 513 vs 455 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KobetsSokoltsov 2.20/Kobets 1.61
Hit
What we said
55.5%
Kobets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 16 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov—111156113V. Kobets—67111162
WJul 13 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov—1111143V. Kobets—98120
WJul 6 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov—11711113V. Kobets—911741
LJul 2 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov—891141V. Kobets—11119113
WJun 23 · 20:25Y. Sokoltsov—1113143V. Kobets—511120
LJun 12 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—812791V. Kobets—111011113
LJun 8 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov—51441122V. Kobets—1112119113
WMay 25 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov—11911113V. Kobets—811981
LMay 12 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—117971V. Kobets—91111113
LApr 14 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov—6160V. Kobets—1111113
Y. Sokoltsov10
LSep 4 · 03:05H. Kulishov1.441111113Y. Sokoltsov2.639590WSep 4 · 02:05Y. Sokoltsov1.61113811113M. Fomin2.2041111792WSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100WSep 3 · 23:35Y. Sokoltsov1.611111113A. Peretiatko2.204970WSep 3 · 21:35Y. Sokoltsov2.0011115113S. Pitsyk1.73691181LSep 3 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov1.6111116982D. Us2.20441111113LSep 3 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.50761561M. Fomin2.50111113113WSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.80561111102D. Kim1.91111179123LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.631210781H. Kulishov1.44101211113
V. Kobets10
LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113WAug 27 · 22:35V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75115471LAug 27 · 21:05V. Kobets1.73961141D. Kim2.0011116113LAug 27 · 03:55V. Kobets2.107880H. Kulishov1.671111113
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