TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022672
Played Aug 27Finished
Vitalii Kobets
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911611116411––
Dmitriy Kim
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Kobets above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 69 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Kobets 64–59 Dmitriy Kim Dmitriy Kim has won 59 of their 123 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kobets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-59 in 123
Kobets
Wrong
gap of 5 in 123, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kobets 1527 vs Kim 1487
Kobets
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kobets 40% vs Kim 20%
Kobets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kobets 50% vs Kim 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kobets -1 · Kim -4
Kim
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kobets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKobets 1.73 / Kim 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kobets)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13022672
Kobets1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 57 of 75
Kim2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 150 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back33% 69 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKobets6wins
AwayKim4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKobets leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKobets100%5 of 5
AwayKim80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kobets5Kim5n = 10split evenly
S2Kobets4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S3Kobets4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S4Kobets5Kim3n = 8Kobets took 5 of 8
S5Kobets3Kim1n = 4Kobets took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKobetsKimKobets − KimBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.638.7+0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKobetsKimBasisWin rate · lifetime456 / 889 vs 486 / 101251.3%48%456 / 889 vs 486 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KobetsKobets 1.73/Kim 2.00
Miss
What we said
54%
Kobets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 02:05V. Kobets—119611113D. Kim—61111752
WJul 16 · 02:05V. Kobets—11812113D. Kim—9111051
WJul 14 · 03:05V. Kobets—113119113D. Kim—61171132
LJul 10 · 03:05V. Kobets—7980D. Kim—1111113
LJul 1 · 22:35V. Kobets—7910D. Kim—1111113
WJun 12 · 24:05V. Kobets—91116113D. Kim—1171471
WJun 8 · 02:05V. Kobets—11119113D. Kim—691191
LJun 4 · 01:35V. Kobets—107111492D. Kim—1211812113
WMay 27 · 20:25V. Kobets—111189113D. Kim—84111142
LMay 25 · 24:05V. Kobets—811471D. Kim—11911113
V. Kobets10
LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113WAug 27 · 22:35V. Kobets1.4091111113M. Skliar2.75115471LAug 27 · 03:55V. Kobets2.107880H. Kulishov1.671111113
D. Kim10
LSep 7 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.8011119153D. Kim1.916411131LSep 7 · 02:35D. Kim2.004101151A. Peretiatko1.7311129113WSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113WSep 6 · 22:35Y. Stepanchuk1.73861191D. Kim2.0011113113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Pitsyk1.5013571162D. Kim2.501111118113LSep 4 · 03:35A. Peretiatko1.7311611113D. Kim2.00711791LSep 4 · 02:35S. Pitsyk1.5011139113D. Kim2.507111151LSep 4 · 01:05Y. Sokoltsov1.801111123D. Kim1.9164100LSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin2.25146119123D. Kim1.571211911102WSep 3 · 21:05H. Kulishov1.80117981D. Kim1.9181111113
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