TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055351
Played Sep 1Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171171210––––
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 58.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 1–0 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1509 vs Rehotun 1382
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Rehotun 0%
Melashenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 50% vs Rehotun 30%
Melashenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko -1 · Rehotun -5
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Melashenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.57 / Rehotun 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Melashenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055351
Melashenko1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 92 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Rehotun2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMelashenko1wins
AwayRehotun0wins
Melashenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMelashenkoRehotunM − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.034.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 846 vs 204 / 40850.8%50%430 / 846 vs 204 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoMelashenko 1.57/Rehotun 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 18:25O. Melashenko—91111113D. Rehotun—115991
O. Melashenko10
LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101WSep 5 · 24:35O. Melashenko1.9114116113O. Gomilko1.801271141WSep 4 · 23:35K. Hrynenko1.73471571O. Melashenko2.00111113113WSep 4 · 22:05O. Melashenko3.2591211123V. Lobas1.3311109101
D. Rehotun10
WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 23:05D. Derevynskyi1.61111212123D. Rehotun2.2041014101LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk—6980D. Rehotun—1111113
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