TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055805
Played Sep 1Finished
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114121012141210––
Dmytro Rehotun
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Derevynskyi above · Dmytro Rehotun below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 85 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 58.1%
85 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Derevynskyi 22–18 Dmytro Rehotun Dmytro Rehotun has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Derevynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-18 in 40
Derevynskyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevynskyi 1517 vs Rehotun 1373
Derevynskyi
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevynskyi 20% vs Rehotun 0%
Derevynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevynskyi 30% vs Rehotun 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevynskyi +1 · Rehotun -5
Rehotun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Derevynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rehotun form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.61 / Rehotun 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13055805
Derevynskyi1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 196 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it90% 91 of 101
Up 1–0, closes it72% 139 of 194
Rehotun2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi7wins
AwayRehotun3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi100%5 of 5
AwayRehotun60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi5Rehotun5n = 10split evenly
S2Derevynskyi7Rehotun3n = 10Derevynskyi took 7 of 10
S3Derevynskyi6Rehotun4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Derevynskyi4Rehotun5n = 9Rehotun took 5 of 9
S5Derevynskyi4Rehotun2n = 6Derevynskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiRehotunD − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.439.3+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiRehotunBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 854 vs 204 / 40954.7%49.9%467 / 854 vs 204 / 409Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiDerevynskyi 1.61/Rehotun 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WFeb 3 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi—611118113D. Rehotun—11371182
WJan 27 · 22:55D. Derevynskyi—158911113D. Rehotun—131111972
WJan 6 · 14:35D. Derevynskyi—117115113D. Rehotun—51161162
WJan 6 · 04:55D. Derevynskyi—11119123D. Rehotun—7611101
LJan 1 · 13:05D. Derevynskyi—511871D. Rehotun—11711113
WDec 22 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi—11118123D. Rehotun—3311101
WNov 18 · 04:55D. Derevynskyi—1115113D. Rehotun—81320
WOct 22 · 16:55D. Derevynskyi—911118103D. Rehotun—11681182
LOct 16 · 22:25D. Derevynskyi—106111142D. Rehotun—121198113
LOct 14 · 17:25D. Derevynskyi—81111682D. Rehotun—117411113
D. Derevynskyi10
WSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113WSep 5 · 02:35O. Gomilko1.50114981D. Derevynskyi2.5081111113LSep 5 · 01:05K. Hrynenko2.5011411113D. Derevynskyi1.50511761LSep 4 · 23:05V. Lobas1.50761111113D. Derevynskyi2.5011116772WSep 4 · 21:05Y. Krol2.639680D. Derevynskyi1.441111113WSep 4 · 04:25S. Abalmaz2.108760D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 4 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi1.80108111132T. Ponomarenko1.91121148113WSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113WSep 3 · 22:55V. Khamurda1.91117681D. Derevynskyi1.8081111113WSep 3 · 21:55R. Gnoevoy2.0011891182D. Derevynskyi1.73511113113
D. Rehotun10
WSep 2 · 03:35Y. Stepanchuk2.1051161172D. Rehotun1.67119115113WSep 2 · 02:35K. Hrynenko1.6181290D. Rehotun2.201114113LSep 2 · 01:05S. Khandetskyi1.5711811123D. Rehotun2.256117101LSep 1 · 21:05O. Melashenko1.571111123D. Rehotun2.2577100LAug 31 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov2.101111113D. Rehotun1.676540LAug 31 · 18:25D. Rehotun1.91115991O. Melashenko1.8091111113LAug 31 · 17:25D. Rehotun1.736780K. Hrynenko2.001111113LAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:55D. Rehotun1.8373120S. Khandetskyi1.831111143WMar 16 · 20:25P. Ishchyk—6980D. Rehotun—1111113
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