TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12482314
Played Aug 24Finished
Oleksii Korobov
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811117511––
Vitalii Kaganovych
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:56 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksii Korobov above · Vitalii Kaganovych below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 64.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Korobov 7–5 Vitalii Kaganovych Vitalii Kaganovych has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Korobov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobov 1553 vs Kaganovych 1458
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobov 60% vs Kaganovych 40%
Korobov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobov 60% vs Kaganovych 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobov +3 · Kaganovych -1
Korobov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Korobov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobov 1.53 / Kaganovych 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Korobov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12482314
Korobov1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 53 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Kaganovych2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 21 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back20% 6 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobov5wins
AwayKaganovych5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobov57.1%4 of 7
AwayKaganovych66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobov7Kaganovych3n = 10Korobov took 7 of 10
S2Korobov6Kaganovych4n = 10Korobov took 6 of 10
S3Korobov5Kaganovych5n = 10split evenly
S4Korobov1Kaganovych5n = 6Kaganovych took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobovKaganovychKorobov − KaganovychBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.934.5+1.4per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobovKaganovychBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 131 vs 333 / 54161.1%61.6%80 / 131 vs 333 / 541Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovKorobov 1.53/Kaganovych 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.8%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaganovych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 18:35O. Korobov—1112113V. Kaganovych—61070
WAug 10 · 18:25O. Korobov—1111113V. Kaganovych—5430
LAug 3 · 12:35O. Korobov—117841V. Kaganovych—91111113
LJul 27 · 19:25O. Korobov—81111692V. Kaganovych—117711113
WJul 13 · 17:25O. Korobov—1111123V. Kaganovych—81100
LJun 2 · 15:05O. Korobov—117491V. Kaganovych—51111113
LApr 22 · 13:55O. Korobov—9570V. Kaganovych—1111113
LApr 14 · 19:05O. Korobov—1596101V. Kaganovych—131111123
WApr 7 · 14:05O. Korobov—611118113V. Kaganovych—11991182
WMar 17 · 17:35O. Korobov—111111113V. Kaganovych—981361
O. Korobov10
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113LAug 17 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5011412952M. Skliar2.507111011113LAug 10 · 19:25A. Lifanov2.00711117133O. Korobov1.73115611112
V. Kaganovych10
WSep 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko3.005111061V. Kaganovych1.3611712113WSep 1 · 18:25V. Kaganovych1.50411411113V. Hainiuk2.5011411492WSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 13:55V. Kaganovych1.501211133I. Elfemov2.50108110LAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671WAug 31 · 17:35V. Kaganovych1.5071211113V. Hainiuk2.501110781LAug 31 · 16:35V. Kaganovych1.40118118122R. Serhyenko2.75911811143WAug 31 · 15:05V. Kaganovych1.8011911113V. Chumak1.91911931LAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113
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