TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392719
Played Aug 10Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111151167111311
Oleksii Korobov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Korobov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Oleksii Korobov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 93 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Oleksii Korobov at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 5–4 Oleksii Korobov Oleksii Korobov has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Korobov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1387 vs Korobov 1551
Korobov
Wrong
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 20% vs Korobov 80%
Korobov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 40% vs Korobov 70%
Korobov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov -4 · Korobov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Korobov) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 2.00 / Korobov 1.73
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Korobov)+6.0pp
Setka Cup · #12392719
Lifanov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 19 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 8 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Korobov1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 48 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLifanov5wins
AwayKorobov4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderLifanov leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLifanov66.7%4 of 6
AwayKorobov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lifanov6Korobov3n = 9Lifanov took 6 of 9
S2Lifanov4Korobov5n = 9Korobov took 5 of 9
S3Lifanov3Korobov6n = 9Korobov took 6 of 9
S4Lifanov4Korobov3n = 7Lifanov took 4 of 7
S5Lifanov2Korobov1n = 3Lifanov took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricLifanovKorobovL − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match37.736.1+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovKorobovBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 349 vs 77 / 12654.7%61.1%191 / 349 vs 77 / 126Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobovLifanov 2.00/Korobov 1.73
Miss
What we said
59.7%
Korobov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lifanov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 10 · 19:25A. Lifanov—711117133O. Korobov—115611112
LAug 3 · 14:05A. Lifanov—12105101O. Korobov—101211123
WJul 27 · 14:55A. Lifanov—1114113O. Korobov—91250
WMar 31 · 16:35A. Lifanov—11119113O. Korobov—861161
WMar 17 · 16:05A. Lifanov—116711113O. Korobov—51111742
LMar 9 · 19:35A. Lifanov—0790O. Korobov—1111113
WFeb 23 · 18:05A. Lifanov—11711113O. Korobov—911741
LFeb 12 · 16:07A. Lifanov—612111122O. Korobov—111013633
LJan 27 · 17:31A. Lifanov—1181021O. Korobov—5111263
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113
O. Korobov10
WAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861WAug 24 · 17:05O. Korobov1.3611911113V. Chumak3.00411951WAug 24 · 15:35O. Korobov1.441111123V. Hainiuk2.6382100WAug 24 · 14:05O. Korobov1.441611711123R. Serhyenko2.63189119102LAug 24 · 12:35O. Korobov1.53681151V. Kaganovych2.3811117113WAug 17 · 18:35V. Kaganovych2.1061070O. Korobov1.671112113WAug 17 · 17:35O. Korobov1.571213113V. Hainiuk2.25101180WAug 17 · 16:35O. Korobov1.281111113V. Sydorenko3.506790LAug 17 · 15:05O. Korobov1.33111411952V. Chumak3.251312511113LAug 17 · 13:05O. Korobov1.5011412952M. Skliar2.507111011113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.