TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049575
Played Aug 31Finished
Viktor Sharpai
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171719611118011
Fedir Chashchin
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeViktor Sharpai to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Sharpai above · Fedir Chashchin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 0-11
Point 101 set 5, 0-11 — our read held Viktor Sharpai at 70.4%
101 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Sharpai 5–2 Fedir Chashchin Fedir Chashchin has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:47What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sharpai
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sharpai
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sharpai 1334 vs Chashchin 1404
Chashchin
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sharpai 20% vs Chashchin 60%
Chashchin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sharpai 20% vs Chashchin 60%
Chashchin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sharpai +1 · Chashchin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Sharpai) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chashchin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSharpai 1.36 / Chashchin 3.00
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Sharpai)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13049575
Sharpai1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 43 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Chashchin3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 14 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSharpai5wins
AwayChashchin2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSharpai leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSharpai100%4 of 4
AwayChashchin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sharpai4Chashchin3n = 7Sharpai took 4 of 7
S2Sharpai7Chashchin0n = 7Sharpai took 7 of 7
S3Sharpai4Chashchin3n = 7Sharpai took 4 of 7
S4Sharpai1Chashchin3n = 4Chashchin took 3 of 4
S5Sharpai2Chashchin1n = 3Sharpai took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSharpaiChashchinS − CBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match37.932.3+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSharpaiChashchinBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 555 vs 92 / 18246.9%50.6%260 / 555 vs 92 / 182Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SharpaiSharpai 1.36/Chashchin 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.2%
Sharpai · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chashchin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 22 · 18:35V. Sharpai—8111110113F. Chashchin—11961232
WJul 13 · 16:25V. Sharpai—111192113F. Chashchin—87111142
WJul 8 · 16:05V. Sharpai—1111113F. Chashchin—5980
WFeb 12 · 18:35V. Sharpai—1111113F. Chashchin—9360
LJan 29 · 16:05V. Sharpai—911571F. Chashchin—11511113
LJan 16 · 18:05V. Sharpai—61121182F. Chashchin—116115113
WJan 8 · 13:35V. Sharpai—1111123F. Chashchin—39100
V. Sharpai10
WSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 18:55I. Elfemov2.2012670V. Sharpai1.611411113LSep 1 · 17:25V. Kaganovych2.0041111113V. Sharpai1.73115561WSep 1 · 15:25V. Hainiuk1.91971161V. Sharpai1.8011117113WSep 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko3.4097130V. Sharpai1.301111153WAug 31 · 18:35V. Sharpai1.8351111113V. Kaganovych1.83119671LAug 31 · 17:05V. Sharpai1.50117481V. Chumak2.5091111113LAug 31 · 15:35V. Sharpai1.61311881V. Hainiuk2.2011911113WAug 31 · 12:35V. Sharpai1.221111113R. Serhyenko4.009970LAug 24 · 18:35O. Korobov1.7351411113V. Sharpai2.001112861
F. Chashchin10
LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:05V. Chumak2.251110271F. Chashchin1.5791211113WAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113WAug 27 · 17:55A. Azarov1.917630F. Chashchin1.801111113WAug 27 · 16:55F. Chashchin2.38131112113D. Boltenkov1.531591021LAug 27 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.75914119113F. Chashchin1.40111241172WAug 27 · 14:25F. Chashchin1.83691111113R. Serhyenko1.8311116432LAug 11 · 19:05F. Chashchin2.507480D. Boltnekov1.501111113
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