TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12399175
Played Aug 11Finished
Fedir Chashchin
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411811––––
Denys Boltnekov
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltnekov to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFedir Chashchin above · Denys Boltnekov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Denys Boltnekov at 62.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Chashchin 0–1 Denys Boltnekov Fedir Chashchin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Boltnekov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chashchin 1405 vs Boltnekov 1406
Boltnekov
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chashchin 60% vs Boltnekov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chashchin 30% vs Boltnekov 50%
Boltnekov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chashchin +2 · Boltnekov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Boltnekov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chashchin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChashchin 2.50 / Boltnekov 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Boltnekov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12399175
Chashchin2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 14 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Boltnekov1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 13 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChashchin0wins
AwayBoltnekov1wins
Boltnekov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricChashchinBoltnekovC − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match25.037.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChashchinBoltnekovBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 175 vs 16 / 3150.3%51.6%88 / 175 vs 16 / 31Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltnekovChashchin 2.50/Boltnekov 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Boltnekov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boltnekov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 30 · 17:35F. Chashchin—13930D. Boltnekov—1511113
F. Chashchin10
LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:05V. Chumak2.251110271F. Chashchin1.5791211113WAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113WAug 27 · 17:55A. Azarov1.917630F. Chashchin1.801111113WAug 27 · 16:55F. Chashchin2.38131112113D. Boltenkov1.531591021LAug 27 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.75914119113F. Chashchin1.40111241172WAug 27 · 14:25F. Chashchin1.83691111113R. Serhyenko1.8311116432
D. Boltnekov10
LAug 13 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.801111113D. Boltnekov1.917960LAug 13 · 18:05D. Boltnekov1.444580R. Serhyenko2.631111113LAug 13 · 16:05I. Elfemov2.001111113D. Boltnekov1.732740WAug 13 · 14:05M. Skliar1.83561171D. Boltnekov1.8311115113WAug 13 · 13:05D. Patalakha1.835970D. Boltnekov1.831111113WAug 11 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.575690D. Boltnekov2.251111113WAug 11 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.5011811992D. Boltnekov1.50711111113LAug 11 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.831112113D. Boltnekov1.8381080LAug 11 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.501111105113D. Boltnekov2.5073121192WAug 6 · 12:35A. Lifanov2.10615114122D. Boltnekov1.671113511143
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