TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12367343
Played Aug 6Finished
Andrii Lifanov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61115131154111214
Denys Boltnekov
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:32 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeDenys Boltnekov to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Lifanov above · Denys Boltnekov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 102 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Denys Boltnekov at 55.8%
102 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Lifanov 1–1 Denys Boltnekov Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:32What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Boltnekov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lifanov 1422 vs Boltnekov 1400
Lifanov
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lifanov 20% vs Boltnekov 60%
Boltnekov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lifanov 50% vs Boltnekov 30%
Lifanov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lifanov +1 · Boltnekov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Boltnekov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lifanov form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLifanov 2.10 / Boltnekov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Boltnekov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12367343
Lifanov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Boltnekov1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 10 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLifanov1wins
AwayBoltnekov1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLifanovBoltnekovL − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.539.5−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLifanovBoltnekovBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 340 vs 12 / 2355.3%52.2%188 / 340 vs 12 / 23Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoltnekovLifanov 2.10/Boltnekov 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Boltnekov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Boltnekov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 31 · 17:55A. Lifanov—111013113D. Boltnekov—8121171
LJul 30 · 15:35A. Lifanov—1111061D. Boltnekov—71112113
A. Lifanov10
LSep 1 · 19:55A. Lifanov2.20911111182V. Sharpai1.61117913113WSep 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko2.63671161A. Lifanov1.4411119113WSep 1 · 16:55A. Lifanov1.401111410133I. Elfemov2.75871112112LSep 1 · 15:55V. Kaganovych1.5711813123A. Lifanov2.2581111101WSep 1 · 14:25A. Lifanov1.361711113V. Hainiuk3.0015670WAug 26 · 19:35A. Lifanov1.50713511113V. Sydorenko2.50111111592WAug 26 · 17:35A. Azarov2.509111191A. Lifanov1.5011713113WAug 26 · 15:35D. Boltenkov1.809640A. Lifanov1.911111113WAug 26 · 14:35A. Lifanov1.501411113I. Elfemov2.5012870WAug 26 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.381112961A. Lifanov1.5361411113
D. Boltnekov10
LAug 13 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.801111113D. Boltnekov1.917960LAug 13 · 18:05D. Boltnekov1.444580R. Serhyenko2.631111113LAug 13 · 16:05I. Elfemov2.001111113D. Boltnekov1.732740WAug 13 · 14:05M. Skliar1.83561171D. Boltnekov1.8311115113WAug 13 · 13:05D. Patalakha1.835970D. Boltnekov1.831111113WAug 11 · 19:05F. Chashchin2.507480D. Boltnekov1.501111113WAug 11 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.575690D. Boltnekov2.251111113WAug 11 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.5011811992D. Boltnekov1.50711111113LAug 11 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.831112113D. Boltnekov1.8381080LAug 11 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.501111105113D. Boltnekov2.5073121192
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