TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415587
Played Aug 13Finished
Dmytro Patalakha
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Denys Boltnekov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Patalakha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDmytro Patalakha above · Denys Boltnekov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Patalakha at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Patalakha 0–1 Denys Boltnekov Dmytro Patalakha has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Boltnekov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Patalakha 1433 vs Boltnekov 1398
Patalakha
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patalakha 20% vs Boltnekov 60%
Boltnekov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patalakha 50% vs Boltnekov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Patalakha -4 · Boltnekov +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patalakha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Patalakha form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatalakha 1.83 / Boltnekov 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Patalakha)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12415587
Patalakha1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Boltnekov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePatalakha0wins
AwayBoltnekov1wins
Boltnekov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPatalakhaBoltnekovP − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatalakhaBoltnekovBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 258 vs 19 / 3747.3%51.4%122 / 258 vs 19 / 37Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatalakhaPatalakha 1.83/Boltnekov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Patalakha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boltnekov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 13 · 13:05D. Patalakha—5970D. Boltnekov—1111113
D. Patalakha10
WSep 6 · 11:50D. Patalakha1.501111113E. Populovskyi2.508570WSep 6 · 10:20D. Patalakha1.73291111113O. Lipeiko2.0011117652WSep 6 · 08:50D. Patalakha2.0011137113A. Kovalenko1.734111171LSep 6 · 07:20D. Patalakha1.73119391S. Solomko2.0071111113LSep 6 · 05:50D. Patalakha1.61781171M. Stetsenko2.2011114113WSep 5 · 18:30D. Patalakha1.73121011113F. Voinarovskyi2.001012591LSep 5 · 16:30A. Kurtenko1.571171163D. Patalakha2.25911621WSep 5 · 15:30D. Patalakha1.8311112S. Solomko1.83690WSep 5 · 14:30V. Smyk2.388118111D. Patalakha1.5311711133WSep 5 · 13:00D. Patalakha3.50111149123O. Tymofeev1.28191111102
D. Boltnekov10
LAug 13 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.801111113D. Boltnekov1.917960LAug 13 · 18:05D. Boltnekov1.444580R. Serhyenko2.631111113LAug 13 · 16:05I. Elfemov2.001111113D. Boltnekov1.732740WAug 13 · 14:05M. Skliar1.83561171D. Boltnekov1.8311115113WAug 11 · 19:05F. Chashchin2.507480D. Boltnekov1.501111113WAug 11 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.575690D. Boltnekov2.251111113WAug 11 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.5011811992D. Boltnekov1.50711111113LAug 11 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.831112113D. Boltnekov1.8381080LAug 11 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.501111105113D. Boltnekov2.5073121192WAug 6 · 12:35A. Lifanov2.10615114122D. Boltnekov1.671113511143
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