TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415610
Played Aug 13Finished
Mykhailo Skliar
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511611115711––
Denys Boltnekov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:29 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Skliar to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMykhailo Skliar above · Denys Boltnekov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 67 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Mykhailo Skliar at 57.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Skliar 1–1 Denys Boltnekov Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:29What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Boltnekov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skliar 1474 vs Boltnekov 1442
Skliar
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skliar 40% vs Boltnekov 80%
Boltnekov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skliar 60% vs Boltnekov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skliar -1 · Boltnekov +4
Boltnekov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skliar) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Boltnekov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkliar 1.83 / Boltnekov 1.83
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Skliar)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #12415610
Skliar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Boltnekov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkliar1wins
AwayBoltnekov1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSkliarBoltnekovS − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match29.036.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkliarBoltnekovBasisWin rate · lifetime44 / 75 vs 18 / 3358.7%54.6%44 / 75 vs 18 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkliarSkliar 1.83/Boltnekov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Skliar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Boltnekov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 4 · 14:05M. Skliar—8240D. Boltnekov—1111113
WJul 31 · 14:55M. Skliar—911211113D. Boltnekov—11911362
M. Skliar10
LSep 7 · 03:35M. Skliar2.759770A. Peretiatko1.401111113LSep 7 · 01:35Y. Stepanchuk1.6191111113M. Skliar2.20111961LSep 7 · 24:35M. Skliar2.201081281D. Kim1.61121110113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Pitsyk1.2891111113M. Skliar3.50119431LSep 6 · 22:05M. Skliar3.7536100H. Kulishov1.251111123LSep 3 · 04:05M. Skliar1.916670D. Kim1.801111113LSep 3 · 02:05D. Us1.571111133M. Skliar2.2568110LSep 3 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.361011611113M. Skliar3.0012711962LSep 2 · 23:05M. Skliar3.758650H. Kulishov1.251111113WSep 2 · 22:05M. Fomin1.57681121M. Skliar2.2511119113
D. Boltnekov10
LAug 13 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.801111113D. Boltnekov1.917960LAug 13 · 18:05D. Boltnekov1.444580R. Serhyenko2.631111113LAug 13 · 16:05I. Elfemov2.001111113D. Boltnekov1.732740WAug 13 · 13:05D. Patalakha1.835970D. Boltnekov1.831111113WAug 11 · 19:05F. Chashchin2.507480D. Boltnekov1.501111113WAug 11 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.575690D. Boltnekov2.251111113WAug 11 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.5011811992D. Boltnekov1.50711111113LAug 11 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.831112113D. Boltnekov1.8381080LAug 11 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.501111105113D. Boltnekov2.5073121192WAug 6 · 12:35A. Lifanov2.10615114122D. Boltnekov1.671113511143
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