TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022628
Played Aug 27Finished
Yevhen Bielokon
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111412114911117
Fedir Chashchin
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeFedir Chashchin to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingYevhen Bielokon above · Fedir Chashchin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 99 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Fedir Chashchin at 69.5%
99 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Bielokon 6–9 Fedir Chashchin Yevhen Bielokon has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Chashchin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Chashchin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bielokon 1286 vs Chashchin 1399
Chashchin
Wrong
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bielokon 20% vs Chashchin 60%
Chashchin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bielokon 20% vs Chashchin 40%
Chashchin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bielokon -3 · Chashchin +1
Bielokon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Chashchin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chashchin form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBielokon 2.75 / Chashchin 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Chashchin)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13022628
Bielokon2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 47 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back17% 12 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Chashchin1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 30 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBielokon5wins
AwayChashchin5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBielokon80%4 of 5
AwayChashchin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bielokon5Chashchin5n = 10split evenly
S2Bielokon1Chashchin9n = 10Chashchin took 9 of 10
S3Bielokon5Chashchin5n = 10split evenly
S4Bielokon3Chashchin3n = 6split evenly
S5Bielokon3Chashchin1n = 4Bielokon took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBielokonChashchinB − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.240.5−3.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBielokonChashchinBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 568 vs 89 / 17747.9%50.3%272 / 568 vs 89 / 177Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChashchinBielokon 2.75/Chashchin 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Chashchin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bielokon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 19:05Y. Bielokon—5890F. Chashchin—1111113
LJul 22 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—6860F. Chashchin—1111113
WJul 8 · 19:35Y. Bielokon—11911113F. Chashchin—611971
WJun 8 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—115119113F. Chashchin—91171182
LJun 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon—7850F. Chashchin—1111113
LMay 22 · 06:55Y. Bielokon—131211582F. Chashchin—1114911113
WMay 19 · 17:05Y. Bielokon—111411183F. Chashchin—9167161
LFeb 18 · 16:05Y. Bielokon—5590F. Chashchin—1111113
WFeb 12 · 15:35Y. Bielokon—1141110133F. Chashchin—611712112
WFeb 9 · 18:05Y. Bielokon—6111111113F. Chashchin—11313792
Y. Bielokon10
LSep 3 · 18:35A. Azarov1.91117113113Y. Bielokon1.8021161142LSep 3 · 17:35Y. Bielokon1.801291191V. Sydorenko1.9114114113LSep 3 · 16:35Y. Bielokon2.20971181I. Elfemov1.6111117103LSep 3 · 15:05Y. Bielokon2.201213671V. Chumak1.61101511113LSep 3 · 13:05Y. Bielokon2.5051090D. Boltenkov1.501112113WSep 2 · 19:25R. Serhyenko2.6311117562Y. Bielokon1.44571111113WSep 2 · 18:25Y. Bielokon2.5011117113I. Elfemov1.50491111LSep 2 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.2581111462D. Boltenkov1.57115811113LSep 2 · 15:55Y. Bielokon2.10119371V. Chumak1.6761111113LSep 2 · 13:55Y. Bielokon1.73912111172A. Azarov2.00111444113
F. Chashchin10
LAug 31 · 19:35V. Hainiuk1.8071111113F. Chashchin1.91116741WAug 31 · 18:05F. Chashchin1.731111113R. Serhyenko2.006650WAug 31 · 16:05V. Chumak2.251110271F. Chashchin1.5791211113WAug 31 · 14:05V. Sharpai1.36111761102F. Chashchin3.00719118113WAug 31 · 13:05V. Kaganovych1.5771161182F. Chashchin2.25117115113LAug 27 · 19:55F. Chashchin1.57941181V. Sydorenko2.2511117113WAug 27 · 17:55A. Azarov1.917630F. Chashchin1.801111113WAug 27 · 16:55F. Chashchin2.38131112113D. Boltenkov1.531591021WAug 27 · 14:25F. Chashchin1.83691111113R. Serhyenko1.8311116432LAug 11 · 19:05F. Chashchin2.507480D. Boltnekov1.501111113
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