TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105684
Played Sep 11Finished
Ivan Kozachuk
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117119––––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeIvan Kozachuk to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Kozachuk above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Kozachuk at 72.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Kozachuk 15–8 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kozachuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Kozachuk
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kozachuk 1746 vs Haiseniuk 1540
Kozachuk
Correct
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kozachuk 40% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Kozachuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kozachuk 40% vs Haiseniuk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kozachuk +2 · Haiseniuk -4
Haiseniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kozachuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozachuk 1.36 / Haiseniuk 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Kozachuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105684
Kozachuk1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 131 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it92% 68 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it80% 98 of 123
Haiseniuk3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 43 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKozachuk6wins
AwayHaiseniuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKozachuk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKozachuk80%4 of 5
AwayHaiseniuk60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kozachuk5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kozachuk8Haiseniuk2n = 10Kozachuk took 8 of 10
S3Kozachuk5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Kozachuk5Haiseniuk4n = 9Kozachuk took 5 of 9
S5Kozachuk1Haiseniuk2n = 3Haiseniuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKozachukHaiseniukK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.638.1+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozachukHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime545 / 1097 vs 410 / 73749.7%55.6%545 / 1097 vs 410 / 737Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozachukKozachuk 1.36/Haiseniuk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Kozachuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kozachuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 20:30I. Kozachuk—91111153R. Haiseniuk—1167131
WAug 7 · 18:05I. Kozachuk—111177113R. Haiseniuk—78111192
WAug 7 · 01:00I. Kozachuk—13116113R. Haiseniuk—1181181
WAug 1 · 05:05I. Kozachuk—11113113R. Haiseniuk—491141
LJul 31 · 12:35I. Kozachuk—981151R. Haiseniuk—11116113
WJul 30 · 20:30I. Kozachuk—91111113R. Haiseniuk—118781
LJul 28 · 08:35I. Kozachuk—113711102R. Haiseniuk—811119123
WJul 18 · 11:35I. Kozachuk—1111113R. Haiseniuk—9460
LJul 6 · 12:55I. Kozachuk—61111152R. Haiseniuk—118611113
LJul 6 · 01:00I. Kozachuk—711591R. Haiseniuk—11911113
I. Kozachuk10
WSep 10 · 22:30I. Kozachuk1.911211113N. Kovalchuk1.8010380WSep 10 · 20:30I. Kozachuk1.731411123I. Romaniak2.00129100LSep 8 · 10:25I. Romaniak2.1011116113I. Kozachuk1.67871181LSep 8 · 09:25I. Kozachuk2.25117941S. Rak1.5751111113LSep 8 · 08:25I. Kozachuk1.8011811682N. Kovalchuk1.91311611113LSep 8 · 06:55I. Kozachuk2.2511140982D. Pesternikov1.578121111113WSep 8 · 04:55I. Kozachuk1.3611119113O. Hura3.00571161LSep 7 · 02:15S. Rak1.531111107113I. Kozachuk2.3895121182LSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 7 · 24:15I. Kozachuk1.40611118113M. Smyrnov2.7511871172
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 10 · 22:00D. Shcherbak1.361111113R. Haiseniuk3.006560LSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101
Upcoming Matches
I. Kozachuk
R. Haiseniuk
Sep 11 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk2.20I. Romaniak1.61—Sep 11 · 02:30R. Haiseniuk1.83N. Kovalchuk1.83—Sep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.53Y. Kravets2.38—Sep 11 · 14:35R. Haiseniuk1.80R. Lazebnyi1.91—Sep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.73M. Smyrnov2.00—Sep 11 · 16:35R. Haiseniuk1.83N. Kovalchuk1.83—Sep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.20I. Romaniak1.61—
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