TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105833
Played Sep 10Finished
Denys Shcherbak
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116115116––––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 72.8% is still 72.8%
Graded at full timeDenys Shcherbak to win
72.8%
72.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Shcherbak above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 50 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Denys Shcherbak at 72.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Denys Shcherbak 11–5 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:44What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Shcherbak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Shcherbak
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shcherbak 1764 vs Haiseniuk 1547
Shcherbak
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shcherbak 60% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Shcherbak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shcherbak 60% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Shcherbak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shcherbak +2 · Haiseniuk -3
Haiseniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Shcherbak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Haiseniuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShcherbak 1.36 / Haiseniuk 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Shcherbak)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105833
Shcherbak1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 154 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it93% 90 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 122 of 158
Haiseniuk3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 43 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShcherbak8wins
AwayHaiseniuk2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderShcherbak leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShcherbak85.7%6 of 7
AwayHaiseniuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shcherbak7Haiseniuk3n = 10Shcherbak took 7 of 10
S2Shcherbak6Haiseniuk4n = 10Shcherbak took 6 of 10
S3Shcherbak8Haiseniuk2n = 10Shcherbak took 8 of 10
S4Shcherbak5Haiseniuk1n = 6Shcherbak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShcherbakHaiseniukS − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.431.6+6.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShcherbakHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 626 vs 410 / 73651.9%55.7%325 / 626 vs 410 / 736Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShcherbakShcherbak 1.36/Haiseniuk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Shcherbak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shcherbak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 06:05D. Shcherbak—1111113R. Haiseniuk—6630
WSep 4 · 03:00D. Shcherbak—1211143R. Haiseniuk—102120
WAug 28 · 17:05D. Shcherbak—31211113R. Haiseniuk—1110391
WAug 22 · 04:35D. Shcherbak—1111113R. Haiseniuk—7860
WAug 21 · 16:05D. Shcherbak—811811113R. Haiseniuk—11411692
LAug 20 · 22:00D. Shcherbak—47111172R. Haiseniuk—111189113
WAug 14 · 03:00D. Shcherbak—1111113R. Haiseniuk—6840
WAug 7 · 12:05D. Shcherbak—121011113R. Haiseniuk—1012971
WAug 6 · 22:00D. Shcherbak—15611113R. Haiseniuk—1311861
LJul 31 · 01:30D. Shcherbak—1110951R. Haiseniuk—41211113
D. Shcherbak10
WSep 10 · 21:00N. Kovalchuk2.00101111482D. Shcherbak1.73129311113WSep 7 · 18:25Y. Kravets2.506780D. Shcherbak1.501111113LSep 7 · 17:25R. Lazebnyi2.7511117113D. Shcherbak1.40671161LSep 7 · 15:55D. Pesternikov1.2811118113D. Shcherbak3.50941161WSep 7 · 13:55S. Rak1.67811481D. Shcherbak2.1011711113LSep 7 · 11:55I. Romaniak2.10117811113D. Shcherbak1.6741111632LSep 7 · 03:15D. Shcherbak1.739101151I. Romaniak2.0011126113WSep 7 · 01:15I. Kozachuk1.808570D. Shcherbak1.911111113WSep 6 · 23:15S. Rak1.6781141242D. Shcherbak2.101181110113WSep 6 · 22:15D. Shcherbak1.281111113M. Smyrnov3.507660
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 10 · 20:00S. Rak1.3051112113R. Haiseniuk3.401161071LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113
Upcoming Matches
D. Shcherbak
R. Haiseniuk
Sep 11 · 24:00R. Haiseniuk3.00I. Kozachuk1.36—Sep 11 · 01:30R. Haiseniuk2.20I. Romaniak1.61—Sep 11 · 02:30R. Haiseniuk1.83N. Kovalchuk1.83—Sep 11 · 13:05R. Haiseniuk1.50Y. Kravets2.50—Sep 11 · 14:35R. Haiseniuk1.80R. Lazebnyi1.91—Sep 11 · 15:35R. Haiseniuk1.73M. Smyrnov2.00—Sep 11 · 16:35R. Haiseniuk1.83N. Kovalchuk1.83—Sep 11 · 18:35R. Haiseniuk2.00I. Romaniak1.73—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.