TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103191
Played Sep 10Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116113411119––
Tomas Regner
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeKyryl Darin to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Tomas Regner below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 66 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Kyryl Darin at 62.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 27–14 Tomas Regner Tomas Regner has won 14 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-14 in 41
Darin
Correct
gap of 13 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1455 vs Regner 1369
Darin
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 60% vs Regner 40%
Darin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 70% vs Regner 30%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin -1 · Regner -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.40 / Regner 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Darin)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103191
Darin1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 170 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it92% 86 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it74% 118 of 159
Regner2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 119 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back25% 36 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin6wins
AwayRegner4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin33.3%1 of 3
AwayRegner28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin3Regner7n = 10Regner took 7 of 10
S2Darin6Regner4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Darin7Regner3n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Darin7Regner2n = 9Darin took 7 of 9
S5Darin1Regner2n = 3Regner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinRegnerD − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.137.0+3.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime753 / 1552 vs 483 / 97748.5%49.4%753 / 1552 vs 483 / 977Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinDarin 1.40/Regner 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.3%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 19 · 22:00K. Darin—1111113T. Regner—5940
WMay 18 · 02:30K. Darin—111111113T. Regner—139851
LMay 12 · 03:30K. Darin—93111142T. Regner—111198113
WMay 11 · 23:30K. Darin—101111113T. Regner—123591
WMay 3 · 22:00K. Darin—61111113T. Regner—117951
WApr 23 · 02:59K. Darin—981111113T. Regner—11115872
WApr 22 · 23:30K. Darin—71115143T. Regner—11213121
LApr 19 · 06:00K. Darin—118881T. Regner—71111113
LApr 10 · 03:30K. Darin—11491252T. Regner—4111110113
LApr 10 · 24:00K. Darin—811661T. Regner—11611113
K. Darin10
LSep 8 · 21:30L. Krok1.8511611123K. Darin1.858115101WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671
T. Regner10
LSep 9 · 16:59T. Regner2.258760J. Steffan1.571111113LSep 9 · 16:30T. Regner1.671491281M. Stefek2.10121114113WSep 9 · 15:00T. Regner2.131212211113J. Steffan1.56141011692LSep 9 · 14:00J. Didi1.571111113T. Regner2.257930WSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391LSep 8 · 20:30T. Regner2.389650A. Svoboda1.531111113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Regner2.005590O. Fejtek1.731111113WSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113LSep 8 · 01:30T. Regner2.3821111952R. Bartunek1.53116511113LSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102
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