TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092962
Played Sep 8Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1199113111191012
Lukas Krok
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Lukas Krok below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 96 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Krok at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 28–35 Lukas Krok Kyryl Darin has won 28 of their 63 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:40What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-35 in 63
Krok
Correct
gap of 7 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1462 vs Krok 1483
Krok
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Krok 60%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 70% vs Krok 40%
Darin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +4 · Krok -1
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 1.83 / Krok 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krok)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092962
Darin1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krok1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin4wins
AwayKrok6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrok leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin60%3 of 5
AwayKrok80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin5Krok5n = 10split evenly
S2Darin6Krok4n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Darin3Krok7n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S4Darin5Krok3n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinKrokD − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.539.3−2.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinKrokBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1550 vs 171 / 37048.5%46.2%752 / 1550 vs 171 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokDarin 1.83/Krok 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 18:00K. Darin—11711113L. Krok—911551
LAug 21 · 18:00K. Darin—911101442L. Krok—1191212113
WAug 19 · 20:00K. Darin—11119113L. Krok—671181
LAug 18 · 20:00K. Darin—31181132L. Krok—119118113
LAug 16 · 21:30K. Darin—1455111L. Krok—121111133
LAug 16 · 20:00K. Darin—9121051L. Krok—111012113
LAug 11 · 18:00K. Darin—6940L. Krok—1111113
WAug 5 · 21:30K. Darin—1211113L. Krok—10430
LAug 5 · 20:30K. Darin—114751L. Krok—81111113
WJul 7 · 18:00K. Darin—91114143L. Krok—11912121
K. Darin10
WSep 8 · 20:30J. Jnr2.008131081K. Darin1.73111112113WSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113
L. Krok10
WSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113
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