TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092565
Played Sep 8Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1179111311711911
Kyryl Darin
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:17 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 56.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 40–36 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 36 of their 76 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 12:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holovatiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-36 in 76
Holovatiuk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1542 vs Darin 1421
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 40% vs Darin 80%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 50% vs Darin 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk -3 · Darin +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.73 / Darin 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092565
Holovatiuk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 88 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it82% 58 of 71
Darin2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 199 of 480
Down 0–1, comes back21% 55 of 268
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 168
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk6wins
AwayDarin4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk100%4 of 4
AwayDarin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S2Holovatiuk4Darin6n = 10Darin took 6 of 10
S3Holovatiuk7Darin3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S4Holovatiuk4Darin2n = 6Holovatiuk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukDarinH − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.5+0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 673 vs 751 / 154949.9%48.5%336 / 673 vs 751 / 1549Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.73/Darin 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk—8111011113K. Darin—11912472
WSep 5 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—1118123K. Darin—316100
WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk—11511153K. Darin—0118131
WSep 5 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk—13811113K. Darin—1111591
WSep 4 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk—81111173K. Darin—1175151
LAug 31 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk—561121K. Darin—11116113
LAug 28 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk—6550K. Darin—1111113
WAug 26 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk—1111143K. Darin—89120
LAug 24 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk—11490K. Darin—1311113
LAug 24 · 03:00Y. Holovatiuk—891141K. Darin—11118113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113
K. Darin10
LSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123WSep 8 · 03:30J. Steffan2.031171011K. Darin1.6291112113WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100WSep 8 · 24:30P. Picek2.0010570K. Darin1.731211113LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792
Upcoming Matches
Y. Holovatiuk
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K. Darin
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