TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092573
Played Sep 8Finished
Lukas Krok
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115117––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:17 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Krok to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krok above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Krok at 56.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krok 31–24 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 24 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:17What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-24 in 55
Krok
Correct
gap of 7 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krok 1483 vs Holovatiuk 1515
Holovatiuk
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krok 60% vs Holovatiuk 20%
Krok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krok 40% vs Holovatiuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krok -1 · Holovatiuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrok 1.57 / Holovatiuk 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092573
Krok1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 15 of 21
Holovatiuk2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrok10wins
AwayHolovatiuk0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrok leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrok100%8 of 8
AwayHolovatiukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krok8Holovatiuk2n = 10Krok took 8 of 10
S2Krok7Holovatiuk3n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S3Krok7Holovatiuk3n = 10Krok took 7 of 10
S4Krok5Holovatiuk2n = 7Krok took 5 of 7
S5Krok3Holovatiuk0n = 3Krok took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokHolovatiukK − HBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.535.4+7.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 370 vs 337 / 67546.2%49.9%171 / 370 vs 337 / 675Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokKrok 1.57/Holovatiuk 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Krok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok—1411113Y. Holovatiuk—12460
WMay 27 · 19:30L. Krok—911129113Y. Holovatiuk—118101182
WMay 25 · 20:30L. Krok—11116113Y. Holovatiuk—881161
WMay 17 · 19:30L. Krok—651111113Y. Holovatiuk—11116672
WMay 14 · 18:30L. Krok—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—7990
WApr 22 · 19:00L. Krok—1111113Y. Holovatiuk—7880
WApr 13 · 21:14L. Krok—111110143Y. Holovatiuk—9612121
WApr 13 · 20:30L. Krok—1191113113Y. Holovatiuk—61171592
WMar 31 · 20:30L. Krok—121111113Y. Holovatiuk—1071341
WMar 30 · 21:30L. Krok—11514123Y. Holovatiuk—81112101
L. Krok10
WSep 8 · 19:30K. Darin1.83119311102L. Krok1.83911119123LSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113WSep 5 · 21:30J. Plachy1.684780L. Krok2.051111113WSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:30J. Plachy1.7397111692L. Krok2.001111814113LSep 5 · 18:00L. Krok1.83911551K. Darin1.8311711113WAug 22 · 21:05V. Nohejl1.619311101L. Krok2.2011116123LAug 22 · 20:00L. Krok2.25116741T. Kolenic1.5781111113LAug 22 · 19:30V. Nohejl2.001111113L. Krok1.735760LAug 22 · 18:00L. Krok2.00133991F. Briza1.73111111113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 8 · 19:00J. Jnr1.734160Y. Holovatiuk2.001111113LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460
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