TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13092655
Played Sep 8Finished
Jan Varcl Jnr
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411111611––––
Yurii Holovatiuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:37 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeJan Varcl Jnr to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Varcl Jnr above · Yurii Holovatiuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 44 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jan Varcl Jnr at 56.5%
44 points played in total.
H2H Jan Varcl Jnr 9–1 Yurii Holovatiuk Yurii Holovatiuk has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:37What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1510 vs Holovatiuk 1500
Jnr
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 20% vs Holovatiuk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 50% vs Holovatiuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +1 · Holovatiuk -4
Holovatiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holovatiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.73 / Holovatiuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Holovatiuk)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13092655
Jnr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 39 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it78% 25 of 32
Holovatiuk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr9wins
AwayHolovatiuk1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr100%5 of 5
AwayHolovatiuk20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr5Holovatiuk5n = 10split evenly
S2Jnr6Holovatiuk4n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S3Jnr7Holovatiuk3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S4Jnr7Holovatiuk3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S5Jnr4Holovatiuk1n = 5Jnr took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrHolovatiukJ − HBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.238.0+5.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrHolovatiukBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 235 vs 336 / 67451.5%49.9%121 / 235 vs 336 / 674Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.73/Holovatiuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 02:30J. Jnr—116411163Y. Holovatiuk—811116142
WAug 13 · 02:00J. Jnr—91111113Y. Holovatiuk—114971
WAug 11 · 02:30J. Jnr—11511113Y. Holovatiuk—911971
WJan 19 · 22:01J. Jnr—1011119123Y. Holovatiuk—127511102
WJan 19 · 21:00J. Jnr—81111113Y. Holovatiuk—114951
LAug 28 · 20:30J. Jnr—68111132Y. Holovatiuk—111177113
WAug 27 · 21:00J. Jnr—511115113Y. Holovatiuk—11591152
WAug 27 · 19:00J. Jnr—11118113Y. Holovatiuk—371161
WJun 18 · 22:00J. Jnr—118124113Y. Holovatiuk—811101192
WJan 15 · 20:30J. Jnr—11118113Y. Holovatiuk—841121
J. Jnr10
WSep 8 · 18:00L. Krok1.4411771382J. Jnr2.634111111113LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932LSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102WSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.10811116142J. Jnr1.67116411163LSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WAug 31 · 23:30J. Jnr1.617121110113J. Steffan2.20111071222WAug 31 · 22:00J. Jnr2.0011117113K. Darin1.73991181
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570LSep 8 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk1.7311913792K. Darin2.007111111113LSep 8 · 17:00Y. Holovatiuk2.30119111172T. Dousa1.52131188113LSep 8 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk3.0078111142T. Dousa1.36111176113LSep 8 · 15:30J. Plachy1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.633250WSep 8 · 14:00Y. Holovatiuk2.201111113J. Trefny1.614320WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.10811116142J. Jnr1.67116411163
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