TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059728
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Varcl Jnr
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171113511811––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Varcl Jnr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingJan Varcl Jnr above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Varcl Jnr at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jan Varcl Jnr 17–13 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-13 in 30
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1506 vs Darin 1329
Jnr
Wrong
both rated, 177 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Darin 0%
Jnr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 50% vs Darin 10%
Jnr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr -3 · Darin -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.91 / Darin 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jnr)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059728
Jnr1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Darin1.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 163 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it94% 83 of 88
Up 1–0, closes it75% 113 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr5wins
AwayDarin5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr66.7%2 of 3
AwayDarin57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S2Jnr3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S3Jnr6Darin4n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S4Jnr3Darin5n = 8Darin took 5 of 8
S5Jnr3Darin0n = 3Jnr took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrDarinJ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.642.6−4.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 233 vs 750 / 154251.5%48.6%120 / 233 vs 750 / 1542Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.91/Darin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 07:00J. Jnr—14512143K. Darin—121110121
LAug 18 · 21:00J. Jnr—9570K. Darin—1111113
LAug 18 · 18:00J. Jnr—1016661K. Darin—121411113
WJul 2 · 02:00J. Jnr—111111133K. Darin—9137111
LApr 29 · 22:30J. Jnr—561181K. Darin—11118113
WApr 21 · 06:00J. Jnr—1091113113K. Darin—121191182
LFeb 19 · 10:28J. Jnr—119661K. Darin—81111113
WFeb 19 · 09:00J. Jnr—1111119113K. Darin—13691182
WFeb 17 · 08:30J. Jnr—1011136113K. Darin—127111162
LFeb 3 · 23:00J. Jnr—8440K. Darin—1111113
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932LSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102WSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.10811116142J. Jnr1.67116411163LSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WAug 31 · 23:30J. Jnr1.617121110113J. Steffan2.20111071222WAug 31 · 22:00J. Jnr2.0011117113K. Darin1.73991181WAug 26 · 09:29J. Jnr1.731112113J. Steffan2.0081090LAug 26 · 08:30J. Jnr1.9151151392M. Smrcek1.801141111113
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LAug 31 · 22:00J. Jnr2.0011117113K. Darin1.73991181
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