TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13058284
Played Sep 2Finished
Alexander Mikuska
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119116––––
Jan Varcl Jnr
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Mikuska above · Jan Varcl Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Mikuska 4–0 Jan Varcl Jnr Jan Varcl Jnr has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:04What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Mikuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Mikuska
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikuska 1568 vs Jnr 1538
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikuska 80% vs Jnr 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikuska 70% vs Jnr 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikuska +2 · Jnr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Mikuska) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikuska 1.36 / Jnr 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Mikuska)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13058284
Mikuska1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 42 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Jnr3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMikuska4wins
AwayJnr0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMikuska leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikuska100%4 of 4
AwayJnrn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikuska4Jnr0n = 4Mikuska took 4 of 4
S2Mikuska2Jnr2n = 4split evenly
S3Mikuska3Jnr1n = 4Mikuska took 3 of 4
S4Mikuska1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMikuskaJnrM − JBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match44.237.8+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikuskaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 237 vs 120 / 23052.3%52.2%124 / 237 vs 120 / 230Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaMikuska 1.36/Jnr 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.6%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 19 · 03:30A. Mikuska—1311113J. Jnr—11640
WAug 19 · 24:30A. Mikuska—116119113J. Jnr—61191172
WJun 19 · 24:30A. Mikuska—12711113J. Jnr—1011681
WMay 29 · 02:00A. Mikuska—1411143113J. Jnr—125161172
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr2.2081181242D. Parhomenko1.611151110113LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932WSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102WSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.10811116142J. Jnr1.67116411163LSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WAug 31 · 23:30J. Jnr1.617121110113J. Steffan2.20111071222WAug 31 · 22:00J. Jnr2.0011117113K. Darin1.73991181WAug 26 · 09:29J. Jnr1.731112113J. Steffan2.0081090LAug 26 · 08:30J. Jnr1.9151151392M. Smrcek1.801141111113
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