TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331885
Played Aug 1Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121113111114––
Alexander Mikuska
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 66.5%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 12–4 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:53What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Dedek
Correct
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1478 vs Mikuska 1575
Mikuska
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Mikuska 80%
Mikuska
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 30% vs Mikuska 60%
Mikuska
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Mikuska +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dedek) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.53 / Mikuska 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Dedek)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12331885
Dedek1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 151 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it96% 86 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it79% 115 of 146
Mikuska2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayMikuska3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek77.8%7 of 9
AwayMikuskan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek9Mikuska1n = 10Dedek took 9 of 10
S2Dedek5Mikuska5n = 10split evenly
S3Dedek3Mikuska7n = 10Mikuska took 7 of 10
S4Dedek6Mikuska2n = 8Dedek took 6 of 8
S5Dedek2Mikuska2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekMikuskaD − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.5+5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 912 vs 126 / 24751.8%51%472 / 912 vs 126 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.53/Mikuska 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 13 · 03:00J. Dedek—11114113A. Mikuska—551151
WJun 12 · 22:00J. Dedek—11811113A. Mikuska—911851
WJun 11 · 01:30J. Dedek—11126113A. Mikuska—2101191
LMay 6 · 03:30J. Dedek—10630A. Mikuska—1211113
LMay 5 · 23:30J. Dedek—118611102A. Mikuska—311118123
WApr 20 · 22:30J. Dedek—117811113A. Mikuska—61111322
WFeb 11 · 04:26J. Dedek—1111113A. Mikuska—2280
LFeb 11 · 02:30J. Dedek—11511972A. Mikuska—711911113
WFeb 8 · 02:30J. Dedek—11116113A. Mikuska—861151
WOct 7 · 24:00J. Dedek—111145113A. Mikuska—97111132
J. Dedek10
LSep 6 · 21:28J. Trefny1.671112113J. Dedek2.1091050WSep 6 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.91611681J. Dedek1.8011311113WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dedek2.0012811113R. Pavelka1.731011781LSep 6 · 18:30J. Trefny1.831111123J. Dedek1.8359100WSep 6 · 17:29J. Trefny1.6714711842J. Dedek2.101211711113WSep 6 · 16:30J. Dedek1.4481111113J. Steffan2.63117661WSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931LSep 6 · 14:00J. Trefny2.251111133J. Dedek1.5788110WSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Dedek2.757680V. Postelt1.401111113
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
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