TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059635
Played Sep 2Finished
Dmitro Parhomenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811811117119118
Alexander Mikuska
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeDmitro Parhomenko to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmitro Parhomenko above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Dmitro Parhomenko at 55.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Dmitro Parhomenko 6–3 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Parhomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Parhomenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parhomenko 1582 vs Mikuska 1581
Parhomenko
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parhomenko 80% vs Mikuska 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parhomenko 80% vs Mikuska 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Parhomenko +4 · Mikuska +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParhomenko 1.57 / Mikuska 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Parhomenko)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059635
Parhomenko1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 187 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it93% 95 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 129 of 166
Mikuska2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 19 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeParhomenko6wins
AwayMikuska3wins
3 of 9 to a deciderParhomenko leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParhomenko100%4 of 4
AwayMikuska60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parhomenko4Mikuska5n = 9Mikuska took 5 of 9
S2Parhomenko5Mikuska4n = 9Parhomenko took 5 of 9
S3Parhomenko4Mikuska5n = 9Mikuska took 5 of 9
S4Parhomenko2Mikuska2n = 4split evenly
S5Parhomenko3Mikuska0n = 3Parhomenko took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricParhomenkoMikuskaP − MBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match34.834.2+0.6per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParhomenkoMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime705 / 1430 vs 125 / 23849.3%52.5%705 / 1430 vs 125 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoParhomenko 1.57/Mikuska 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Parhomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJun 12 · 23:00D. Parhomenko—11117113A. Mikuska—861181
WJan 29 · 02:00D. Parhomenko—1011116113A. Mikuska—12381172
LJan 27 · 24:00D. Parhomenko—8980A. Mikuska—1111113
WJan 25 · 03:00D. Parhomenko—1111113A. Mikuska—5670
WNov 11 · 03:00D. Parhomenko—1111113A. Mikuska—6680
WAug 5 · 02:00D. Parhomenko—711118113A. Mikuska—11991192
LMay 2 · 22:30D. Parhomenko—81090A. Mikuska—1112113
LApr 28 · 03:00D. Parhomenko—9530A. Mikuska—1111113
WApr 27 · 23:30D. Parhomenko—114411113A. Mikuska—71111992
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
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