TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12329852
Played Jul 31Finished
Kyryl Darin
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114911117811611
Alexander Mikuska
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKyryl Darin above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 57.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Kyryl Darin 3–9 Alexander Mikuska Kyryl Darin has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:03What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mikuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Mikuska
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Darin 1560 vs Mikuska 1553
Darin
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Darin 80% vs Mikuska 60%
Darin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Darin 80% vs Mikuska 50%
Darin
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Darin +3 · Mikuska -1
Darin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Mikuska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Darin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDarin 2.00 / Mikuska 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Mikuska)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12329852
Darin2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 211 of 468
Down 0–1, comes back25% 66 of 261
Down 0–2, comes back10% 16 of 154
Mikuska1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 41 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDarin3wins
AwayMikuska7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDarin75%3 of 4
AwayMikuska100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Darin4Mikuska6n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S2Darin3Mikuska7n = 10Mikuska took 7 of 10
S3Darin4Mikuska6n = 10Mikuska took 6 of 10
S4Darin2Mikuska3n = 5Mikuska took 3 of 5
S5Darin1Mikuska2n = 3Mikuska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricDarinMikuskaD − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.437.2−6.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDarinMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime752 / 1525 vs 124 / 24549.3%50.6%752 / 1525 vs 124 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaDarin 2.00/Mikuska 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 23:30K. Darin—1111123A. Mikuska—46100
LJul 9 · 03:30K. Darin—7590A. Mikuska—1111113
WJul 9 · 02:30K. Darin—11711113A. Mikuska—711291
LJun 13 · 24:30K. Darin—61111782A. Mikuska—114911113
LApr 14 · 01:30K. Darin—127681A. Mikuska—101111113
LNov 30 · 04:00K. Darin—6230A. Mikuska—1111113
LNov 29 · 23:00K. Darin—51111922A. Mikuska—117911113
LOct 11 · 01:00K. Darin—2590A. Mikuska—1111113
WSep 22 · 02:30K. Darin—113611183A. Mikuska—711118162
LAug 18 · 23:30K. Darin—7840A. Mikuska—1111113
K. Darin10
WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:30L. Malek2.009120K. Darin1.731111113LSep 6 · 10:00K. Darin1.6111841182F. Briza2.20911119113LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:30K. Darin2.505511101J. Plachy1.5011118123LSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
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