TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12344196
Played Aug 1Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811811116118811
Alexander Mikuska
Away
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Alexander Mikuska below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 2–1 Alexander Mikuska Alexander Mikuska has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:02What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dousa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1583 vs Mikuska 1557
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 60% vs Mikuska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 50% vs Mikuska 70%
Mikuska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa +2 · Mikuska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikuska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.53 / Mikuska 2.35
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dousa)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12344196
Dousa1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 84 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it79% 56 of 71
Mikuska2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDousa2wins
AwayMikuska1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderDousa leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa1Mikuska2n = 3Mikuska took 2 of 3
S2Dousa1Mikuska2n = 3Mikuska took 2 of 3
S3Dousa2Mikuska1n = 3Dousa took 2 of 3
S4Dousa1Mikuska2n = 3Mikuska took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDousaMikuskaD − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.744.7−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaMikuskaBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 691 vs 127 / 24950.1%51%346 / 691 vs 127 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaDousa 1.53/Mikuska 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.6%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 1 · 24:00T. Dousa—851181A. Mikuska—11115113
WMay 16 · 24:00T. Dousa—113124113A. Mikuska—811101182
WJul 4 · 02:00T. Dousa—9111212113A. Mikuska—116141072
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 24 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.83111117113T. Dousa1.83891981
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
Upcoming Matches
T. Dousa
A. Mikuska
Nothing scheduled
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