TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331891
Played Aug 1Finished
Alexander Mikuska
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181198111113112
Marek Placek
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Mikuska above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-2
Point 95 set 5, 11-2 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 58.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Mikuska 6–4 Marek Placek Marek Placek has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Mikuska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Mikuska
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mikuska 1548 vs Placek 1486
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikuska 60% vs Placek 0%
Mikuska
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikuska 60% vs Placek 30%
Mikuska
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikuska -1 · Placek -5
Placek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Mikuska) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Placek form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikuska 1.57 / Placek 2.25
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Mikuska)+8.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331891
Mikuska1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 41 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 19 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it86% 31 of 36
Placek2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 49 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back26% 14 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMikuska6wins
AwayPlacek4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMikuska leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMikuska80%4 of 5
AwayPlacek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mikuska5Placek5n = 10split evenly
S2Mikuska5Placek5n = 10split evenly
S3Mikuska7Placek3n = 10Mikuska took 7 of 10
S4Mikuska5Placek3n = 8Mikuska took 5 of 8
S5Mikuska3Placek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMikuskaPlacekM − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.241.0+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikuskaPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 248 vs 219 / 41950.8%52.3%126 / 248 vs 219 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikuskaMikuska 1.57/Placek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Mikuska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 16 · 01:30A. Mikuska—711611123M. Placek—113119102
WMay 6 · 01:30A. Mikuska—1111113M. Placek—7590
WApr 14 · 02:30A. Mikuska—1112189113M. Placek—810201172
LFeb 15 · 02:30A. Mikuska—451351M. Placek—111111113
LFeb 13 · 03:30A. Mikuska—118119112M. Placek—811911133
LOct 7 · 03:07A. Mikuska—118111162M. Placek—131177113
WOct 7 · 01:00A. Mikuska—1111511113M. Placek—13911292
WSep 29 · 03:30A. Mikuska—1111113M. Placek—5750
LSep 28 · 23:00A. Mikuska—107121152M. Placek—1211104113
WApr 15 · 01:30A. Mikuska—11711113M. Placek—611991
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WAug 1 · 24:00A. Mikuska2.0011115113T. Dousa1.73851181WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
M. Placek10
LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123WSep 4 · 16:30K. Darin1.831111111032M. Placek1.83951312113LSep 4 · 15:30M. Placek2.50118100Y. Holovatiuk1.501311123WSep 4 · 14:30D. Horak2.50117961M. Placek1.5071111113LAug 28 · 21:28Y. Holovatiuk1.531011115113M. Placek2.3812921172LAug 28 · 20:00M. Placek2.1010780Y. Holovatiuk1.671211113
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