TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12331903
Played Aug 1Finished
Alexander Mikuska
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115511118––
Tomas Dousa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAlexander Mikuska to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlexander Mikuska above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Alexander Mikuska at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Mikuska 0–2 Tomas Dousa Alexander Mikuska has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:03What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dousa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mikuska 1564 vs Dousa 1563
Mikuska
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mikuska 60% vs Dousa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mikuska 50% vs Dousa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mikuska +1 · Dousa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dousa) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMikuska 2.00 / Dousa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dousa)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12331903
Mikuska2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 19 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Dousa1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 84 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it79% 56 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMikuska0wins
AwayDousa2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderDousa leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMikuskaDousaM − DBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match48.048.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMikuskaDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 246 vs 344 / 68850.8%50%125 / 246 vs 344 / 688Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DousaMikuska 2.00/Dousa 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dousa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mikuska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 16 · 24:00A. Mikuska—811101182T. Dousa—113124113
LJul 4 · 02:00A. Mikuska—116141072T. Dousa—9111212113
A. Mikuska10
WSep 3 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.95891111113K. Darin1.7511118642LSep 3 · 01:30A. Mikuska2.10611121482P. Fojt1.671171412113WSep 3 · 24:30K. Darin2.3831171192A. Mikuska1.53119114113LSep 2 · 23:30D. Parhomenko1.57881111113A. Mikuska2.2511117982WSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113WAug 1 · 02:30A. Mikuska1.571111811113M. Placek2.2589111322LAug 1 · 01:30J. Dedek1.53111111113A. Mikuska2.38213141WJul 31 · 23:00K. Darin2.0011911862A. Mikuska1.73411711113LJul 29 · 03:00A. Mikuska1.7211951182L. Babicka2.00311119113
T. Dousa10
WAug 31 · 21:28T. Dousa1.801112113P. Fojt1.9181080WAug 31 · 20:00P. Fojt1.839270T. Dousa1.831111113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Kolar2.25691181T. Dousa1.5711118113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Dousa1.401111123Y. Holovatiuk2.7599100LAug 27 · 17:29R. Pavelka1.7381111113T. Dousa2.00117891WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa1.831115133J. Plachy1.83913110WAug 27 · 15:30K. Darin2.1011118862T. Dousa1.67591111113LAug 27 · 14:00T. Dousa1.831212148112R. Pavelka1.8314101211133LAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek1.80111195113T. Dousa1.9186111132LAug 1 · 03:30T. Dousa1.5388111182A. Mikuska2.35111168113
Upcoming Matches
A. Mikuska
Nothing scheduled
T. Dousa
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.