TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059729
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Varcl Jnr
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111158111210411
Dmitro Parhomenko
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Varcl Jnr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Varcl Jnr above · Dmitro Parhomenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 91 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jan Varcl Jnr at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Varcl Jnr 6–11 Dmitro Parhomenko Jan Varcl Jnr has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:34What took a side0 for · 6 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Parhomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Parhomenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1506 vs Parhomenko 1602
Parhomenko
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Parhomenko 100%
Parhomenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 60% vs Parhomenko 80%
Parhomenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr -2 · Parhomenko +5
Parhomenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Parhomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parhomenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.20 / Parhomenko 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Parhomenko)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059729
Jnr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Parhomenko1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 187 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it93% 95 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it78% 129 of 166
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr5wins
AwayParhomenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr80%4 of 5
AwayParhomenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr5Parhomenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Jnr7Parhomenko3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S3Jnr4Parhomenko6n = 10Parhomenko took 6 of 10
S4Jnr5Parhomenko3n = 8Jnr took 5 of 8
S5Jnr1Parhomenko3n = 4Parhomenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrParhomenkoJ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.939.5−0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrParhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 233 vs 705 / 143051.5%49.3%120 / 233 vs 705 / 1430Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParhomenkoJnr 2.20/Parhomenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Parhomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Parhomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 01:00J. Jnr—81181242D. Parhomenko—1151110113
WNov 27 · 10:30J. Jnr—14112113D. Parhomenko—1281181
WNov 27 · 09:00J. Jnr—11911113D. Parhomenko—811681
LNov 6 · 09:00J. Jnr—101151182D. Parhomenko—127119113
WNov 4 · 09:00J. Jnr—1111113D. Parhomenko—4490
WOct 22 · 23:30J. Jnr—13118103D. Parhomenko—1191181
LSep 4 · 08:00J. Jnr—611951D. Parhomenko—11511113
LAug 27 · 18:30J. Jnr—10580D. Parhomenko—1211113
WAug 12 · 09:30J. Jnr—911111113D. Parhomenko—11771152
LAug 12 · 06:00J. Jnr—12815772D. Parhomenko—10111311113
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 02:00J. Jnr1.911111581K. Darin1.8071311113LSep 3 · 24:00P. Fojt1.61811711113J. Jnr2.2011811932LSep 2 · 22:30A. Mikuska1.361111113J. Jnr3.005960WSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102WSep 1 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk2.10811116142J. Jnr1.67116411163LSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WAug 31 · 23:30J. Jnr1.617121110113J. Steffan2.20111071222WAug 31 · 22:00J. Jnr2.0011117113K. Darin1.73991181WAug 26 · 09:29J. Jnr1.731112113J. Steffan2.0081090LAug 26 · 08:30J. Jnr1.9151151392M. Smrcek1.801141111113
D. Parhomenko10
LSep 4 · 16:58J. Prokupek1.50581111113D. Parhomenko2.5011117582LSep 4 · 16:00R. Pavelka1.7313115113D. Parhomenko2.001151191LSep 4 · 15:00J. Prokupek2.001111113D. Parhomenko1.739990LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.107740J. Plachy1.67111142LSep 4 · 14:30D. Parhomenko2.007780F. Just1.701111113LSep 4 · 13:30D. Parhomenko1.541010111292M. Kolar2.181212710113LSep 4 · 12:00D. Parhomenko1.441112661L. Malek2.6371411113WSep 4 · 11:30J. Steffan3.009640D. Parhomenko1.361111113WSep 4 · 10:00D. Parhomenko1.73111011113M. Kolar2.00412851LSep 3 · 03:30D. Parhomenko2.0277120P. Fojt1.701111143
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