TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086852
Played Sep 8Finished
Petr Picek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012511711––––
Kyryl Darin
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:09 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Kyryl Darin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Petr Picek at 58.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Petr Picek 46–35 Kyryl Darin Kyryl Darin has won 35 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Darin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-35 in 81
Picek
Wrong
gap of 11 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Picek 1452 vs Darin 1392
Picek
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 20% vs Darin 60%
Darin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 40% vs Darin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek -4 · Darin -1
Picek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Darin) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 2.00 / Darin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Darin)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086852
Picek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog29% won 25 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Darin1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 163 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it91% 83 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePicek2wins
AwayDarin8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDarin leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePicek20%1 of 5
AwayDarin80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Picek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S2Picek5Darin5n = 10split evenly
S3Picek3Darin7n = 10Darin took 7 of 10
S4Picek2Darin7n = 9Darin took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away770%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPicekDarinP − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.038.5−2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekDarinBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 551 vs 749 / 154749.9%48.4%275 / 551 vs 749 / 1547Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DarinPicek 2.00/Darin 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Darin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Darin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek—211571K. Darin—11711113
WJul 24 · 01:00P. Picek—1111113K. Darin—9680
LJul 19 · 02:30P. Picek—11101151K. Darin—61213113
LJul 13 · 23:30P. Picek—911981K. Darin—11911113
LJul 8 · 23:30P. Picek—8811101K. Darin—11115123
LJun 28 · 01:00P. Picek—1110911142K. Darin—912119163
LJun 22 · 24:00P. Picek—118481K. Darin—61111113
WJun 3 · 03:00P. Picek—41111113K. Darin—115721
LJun 3 · 24:30P. Picek—511591K. Darin—11611113
LMay 31 · 23:30P. Picek—1110891K. Darin—51211113
P. Picek10
LSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 7 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj2.7511811113P. Picek1.40911831LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WSep 1 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57711119112P. Picek2.25119611133WAug 31 · 22:30J. Steffan1.9161191192P. Picek1.80118116113LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek3.508740O. Kucirek1.281111113LAug 23 · 02:00O. Kucirek1.2811511113P. Picek3.50511841WAug 23 · 24:30P. Picek1.83127113113M. Smrcek1.83101171142
K. Darin10
WSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100LSep 7 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj3.2511117123K. Darin1.338711101WSep 7 · 22:30K. Darin1.61114811113J. Steffan2.2061111672WSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671WSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991LSep 7 · 07:00K. Darin1.618690T. Andrle2.201111113LSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 13:01K. Darin1.80961171L. Malek1.9111115113LSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113
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