TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13087570
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleg Vitrovyj
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811118113––
Petr Picek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleg Vitrovyj above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 72 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Petr Picek at 74.4%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleg Vitrovyj 1–9 Petr Picek Oleg Vitrovyj has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Picek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Picek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitrovyj 1476 vs Picek 1511
Picek
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitrovyj 80% vs Picek 60%
Vitrovyj
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitrovyj 60% vs Picek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitrovyj +4 · Picek -2
Vitrovyj
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Picek) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picek form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitrovyj 2.75 / Picek 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Picek)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13087570
Vitrovyj2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 45 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back18% 9 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Picek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 82 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 64 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitrovyj1wins
AwayPicek9wins
Picek leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitrovyjn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPicek100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitrovyj2Picek8n = 10Picek took 8 of 10
S2Vitrovyj2Picek8n = 10Picek took 8 of 10
S3Vitrovyj3Picek7n = 10Picek took 7 of 10
S4Vitrovyj1Picek5n = 6Picek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitrovyjPicekV − PBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.437.9−10.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitrovyjPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 669 vs 278 / 55352.9%50.3%354 / 669 vs 278 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicekVitrovyj 2.75/Picek 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.8%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vitrovyj won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 01:30O. Vitrovyj—811491P. Picek—11911113
LAug 3 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj—512541P. Picek—111011113
LJul 24 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—4590P. Picek—1111113
WJul 16 · 23:00O. Vitrovyj—11713113P. Picek—5111181
LSep 9 · 03:02O. Vitrovyj—1341071P. Picek—111112113
LSep 9 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj—6480P. Picek—1111113
LSep 8 · 03:00O. Vitrovyj—81280P. Picek—1114113
LSep 7 · 23:00O. Vitrovyj—841151P. Picek—11118113
LJun 14 · 16:00O. Vitrovyj—61330P. Picek—1115113
LMay 26 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj—641151P. Picek—11111113
O. Vitrovyj10
WSep 3 · 03:28O. Vitrovyj1.5011118113R. Hasmanda2.50851161WSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110WSep 3 · 01:30V. Dolezal2.75981141O. Vitrovyj1.4011114113WSep 3 · 24:00O. Vitrovyj1.441311113P. Bruzek2.6311580LSep 2 · 23:00R. Hasmanda2.6381111113O. Vitrovyj1.44117781LSep 1 · 03:30O. Vitrovyj2.55811691R. Bartunek1.4511611113WSep 1 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.30111090O. Vitrovyj3.401312113LSep 1 · 01:00J. Didi2.25112711113O. Vitrovyj1.5731111772LAug 31 · 23:30O. Vitrovyj1.734880T. Regner2.001111113WAug 31 · 22:00O. Vitrovyj1.571111113O. Kucirek2.255990
P. Picek10
LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WSep 1 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57711119112P. Picek2.25119611133WAug 31 · 22:30J. Steffan1.9161191192P. Picek1.80118116113LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek3.508740O. Kucirek1.281111113LAug 23 · 02:00O. Kucirek1.2811511113P. Picek3.50511841WAug 23 · 24:30P. Picek1.83127113113M. Smrcek1.83101171142WAug 22 · 23:00P. Picek1.80111111113J. Steffan1.91138461LAug 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk1.73119311113P. Picek2.0091111352
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