TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12469364
Played Aug 22Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911311113115
Petr Picek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Holovatiuk to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Petr Picek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 84 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Yurii Holovatiuk at 57.3%
84 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 13–4 Petr Picek Petr Picek has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holovatiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Holovatiuk
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1511 vs Picek 1480
Holovatiuk
Correct
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 60% vs Picek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 70% vs Picek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +1 · Picek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Holovatiuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 1.73 / Picek 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Holovatiuk)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12469364
Holovatiuk1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 64 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Picek2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 28 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk7wins
AwayPicek3wins
8 of 10 to a deciderHolovatiuk leads 7–3, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiuk60%3 of 5
AwayPicek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk5Picek5n = 10split evenly
S2Holovatiuk7Picek3n = 10Holovatiuk took 7 of 10
S3Holovatiuk4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S4Holovatiuk4Picek6n = 10Picek took 6 of 10
S5Holovatiuk6Picek2n = 8Holovatiuk took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolovatiukPicekH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.141.8+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukPicekBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 621 vs 286 / 57048.6%50.2%302 / 621 vs 286 / 570Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolovatiukHolovatiuk 1.73/Picek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Holovatiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holovatiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk—119311113P. Picek—91111352
WJul 28 · 02:59Y. Holovatiuk—1111511113P. Picek—13411782
WJul 28 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk—712125113P. Picek—1110101192
LMay 31 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk—11115222P. Picek—321111113
WMay 17 · 21:30Y. Holovatiuk—11911113P. Picek—111251
WMay 17 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk—1011119113P. Picek—12651192
LMar 8 · 01:30Y. Holovatiuk—11115752P. Picek—671111113
WJan 25 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk—1416411113P. Picek—161411362
WJan 25 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk—1111115113P. Picek—98131192
LJul 20 · 12:00Y. Holovatiuk—961151P. Picek—11116113
Y. Holovatiuk10
WSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113LSep 6 · 02:30V. Postelt1.2811115113Y. Holovatiuk3.50751161WSep 6 · 01:00J. Plachy1.7312660Y. Holovatiuk2.001411113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk2.10111114113J. Prokupek1.671381211WSep 5 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.738111011113K. Darin2.0011912472LSep 5 · 20:00L. Krok1.611411113Y. Holovatiuk2.2012460WSep 5 · 19:00K. Darin1.91316100Y. Holovatiuk1.801118123LSep 5 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.0011461172J. Plachy1.73811117113WSep 5 · 03:28Y. Holovatiuk1.8311511153K. Darin1.830118131
P. Picek10
LSep 1 · 03:30J. Jnr1.70791111123P. Picek2.02111165102LSep 1 · 02:00P. Picek2.10211571K. Darin1.6711711113WSep 1 · 01:00P. Picek1.8011113113J. Jnr1.91371161WSep 1 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk1.57711119112P. Picek2.25119611133WAug 31 · 22:30J. Steffan1.9161191192P. Picek1.80118116113LAug 23 · 03:00P. Picek3.508740O. Kucirek1.281111113LAug 23 · 02:00O. Kucirek1.2811511113P. Picek3.50511841WAug 23 · 24:30P. Picek1.83127113113M. Smrcek1.83101171142WAug 22 · 23:00P. Picek1.80111111113J. Steffan1.91138461WAug 21 · 03:28M. Stefek1.916670P. Picek1.801111113
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